EQUINOR OTC Stock Volatility

STOHF -  USA Stock  

USD 33.89  0.85  2.45%

EQUINOR ASA appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. EQUINOR ASA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0846, which denotes the company had 0.0846% of return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. Our approach towards predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for EQUINOR ASA, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize EQUINOR ASA's Mean Deviation of 2.4, market risk adjusted performance of 0.9277, and Downside Deviation of 3.36 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
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EQUINOR ASA OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of EQUINOR daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use EQUINOR's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of EQUINOR ASA volatility.

360 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Below Average

360 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as EQUINOR ASA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of EQUINOR ASA at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase EQUINOR stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of EQUINOR ASA's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

EQUINOR ASA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

EQUINOR ASA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of EQUINOR otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents EQUINOR otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, EQUINOR ASA's beta of 0.29 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk EQUINOR ASA otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what EQUINOR's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, EQUINOR ASA returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EQUINOR ASA will be expected to be smaller as well.
3 Months Beta |Analyze EQUINOR ASA Demand Trend
Check current 90 days EQUINOR ASA correlation with market (DOW)

EQUINOR Beta

    
  0.29  
EQUINOR standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.93  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by EQUINOR ASA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of EQUINOR ASA stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in EQUINOR ASA stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in EQUINOR ASA.

EQUINOR ASA OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which EQUINOR ASA stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with EQUINOR ASA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of EQUINOR ASA's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of EQUINOR ASA's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures EQUINOR ASA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict EQUINOR ASA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for EQUINOR ASA's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Developed by Larry Williams, the Weighted Close is the average of EQUINOR ASA high, low and close of a chart with the close values weighted twice. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes only EQUINOR ASA closing price as input.
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EQUINOR ASA Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon EQUINOR ASA has a beta of 0.2905 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, EQUINOR ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EQUINOR ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EQUINOR ASA or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EQUINOR ASA stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EQUINOR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.3158, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
EQUINOR ASA's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how EQUINOR ASA stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

EQUINOR ASA OTC Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EQUINOR ASA or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EQUINOR ASA stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EQUINOR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of EQUINOR ASA is 1181.43. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.59 and standard deviation of 2.93. The mean deviation of EQUINOR ASA is currently at 2.25. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.35
α
Alpha over DOW
0.32
β
Beta against DOW0.29
σ
Overall volatility
2.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

EQUINOR ASA OTC Stock Return Volatility

EQUINOR ASA historical daily return volatility represents how much EQUINOR ASA stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm shows 2.9302% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, DOW inherits 1.3304% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About EQUINOR ASA Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of EQUINOR ASA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of EQUINOR ASA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to EQUINOR's beta indicator, it measures the risk of EQUINOR ASA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of EQUINOR ASA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Equinor ASA, an energy company, engages in the exploration, production, transportation, refining, and marketing of petroleum and petroleum-derived products, and other forms of energy in Norway and internationally. Equinor ASA was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Stavanger, Norway. EQUINOR ASA operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 21126 people.

EQUINOR ASA Investment Opportunity

EQUINOR ASA has a volatility of 2.93 and is 2.2 times more volatile than DOW. 25  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than EQUINOR ASA. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of EQUINOR ASA is lower than 25 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use EQUINOR ASA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The otc stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of EQUINOR ASA to be traded at $32.53 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what EQUINOR's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, EQUINOR ASA returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EQUINOR ASA will be expected to be smaller as well.

Average diversification

The correlation between EQUINOR ASA and DJI is Average diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding EQUINOR ASA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

EQUINOR ASA Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of EQUINOR ASA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EQUINOR ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of EQUINOR ASA stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1281
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.9277
Mean Deviation2.4
Semi Deviation2.67
Downside Deviation3.36
Coefficient Of Variation1099.01
Standard Deviation3.04
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

EQUINOR ASA Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against EQUINOR ASA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. EQUINOR ASA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, EQUINOR ASA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to EQUINOR ASA.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. Note that the EQUINOR ASA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EQUINOR ASA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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Is EQUINOR ASA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EQUINOR ASA. If investors know EQUINOR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EQUINOR ASA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EQUINOR ASA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EQUINOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EQUINOR ASA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EQUINOR ASA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EQUINOR ASA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EQUINOR ASA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EQUINOR ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EQUINOR ASA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EQUINOR ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.