Simply Stock Volatility

SMPL
 Stock
  

USD 33.54  0.02  0.06%   

Simply Good owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0821, which indicates the firm had -0.0821% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. The Simply Good exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Simply Good risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,111) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
  
Simply Good Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Simply daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Simply's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Simply Good volatility.

600 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

600 Days Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market moves
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Simply Good can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Simply Good at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Simply stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Simply Good's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Simply Good

-0.52GRBMFGrupo Bimbo SAPairCorr

Simply Good Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Simply Good's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Simply stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Simply stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Simply Good's beta of 0.65 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Simply Good stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
The Simply Good exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 0.7. However, we advise investors to further study The Simply Good technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Simply Good's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Simply Good's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Simply Good Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Simply Good correlation with market (DOW)

Simply Beta

    
  0.65  
Simply standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.73  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Simply Good's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Simply Good's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in simply stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Simply Good.

Using Simply Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Simply Good grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Simply Good at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Simply Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Simply Good's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Simply Good will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Simply Good's PUT expiring on 2022-10-21

   Profit   
Share
       Simply Good Price At Expiration  

Current Simply Good Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $35.0-0.60340.09011082022-10-212.0 - 3.13.23View
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $30.0-0.15780.06021002022-10-210.2 - 0.50.42View
View All Simply Good Options

Simply Good Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Simply Good stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Simply Good's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Simply Good's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Simply Good's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Simply Good's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Simply Good's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Simply Good's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Simply Good's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of Simply Good price series.
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Simply Good Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Simply Good has a beta of 0.6544 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Simply Good average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Simply Good will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Simply Good or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Simply Good's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Simply stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Simply Good is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Simply Good's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how simply stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Simply Good Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Simply Good Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Simply Good or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Simply Good's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Simply stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Simply Good is -1218.08. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.0 and standard deviation of 1.73. The mean deviation of The Simply Good is currently at 1.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.23
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.14
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Simply Good Stock Return Volatility

Simply Good historical daily return volatility represents how much of Simply Good stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.7319% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.2493% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Simply Good Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Simply Good or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Simply Good may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Simply's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Simply Good and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Simply Good fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The Simply Good Foods Company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Simply Good operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 263 people.

Simply Good Investment Opportunity

The Simply Good has a volatility of 1.73 and is 1.38 times more volatile than DOW. 15  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Simply Good. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of The Simply Good is lower than 15 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use The Simply Good to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Simply Good to be traded at $33.2 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between The Simply Good and DJI is 0.46 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The Simply Good and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Simply Good Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Simply Good's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Simply Good's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Simply Good stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Simply Good Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Simply Good as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Simply Good's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Simply Good's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to The Simply Good.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Simply Good price analysis, check to measure Simply Good's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simply Good is operating at the current time. Most of Simply Good's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simply Good's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simply Good's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simply Good to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Simply Good's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simply Good. If investors know Simply will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simply Good listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Simply Good is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simply that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simply Good's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simply Good's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simply Good's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simply Good's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simply Good's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Simply Good value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simply Good's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.