RBC Bearings Stock Volatility

ROLL
 Stock
  

USD 264.87  8.09  3.15%   

RBC Bearings appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. RBC Bearings Incorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.32, which implies the company had 0.32% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach towards forecasting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By evaluating RBC Bearings Incorp technical indicators you can right now evaluate if the expected return of 0.8% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate RBC Bearings' semi deviation of 1.55, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5986 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
RBC Bearings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of RBC Bearings daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use RBC Bearings's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of RBC Bearings volatility.

720 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

720 Days Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as RBC Bearings can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of RBC Bearings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase RBC Bearings stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of RBC Bearings' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with RBC Bearings

0.8TTCToro Company Fiscal Year End 21st of December 2022 PairCorr
0.84MSSMYMisumi GroupPairCorr

Moving against RBC Bearings

0.68SWKStanley Black DeckerPairCorr
0.53CCLCarnival Corp Fiscal Year End 19th of December 2022 PairCorr

RBC Bearings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

RBC Bearings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of RBC Bearings stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents RBC Bearings stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, RBC Bearings's beta of 1.22 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk RBC Bearings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
RBC Bearings Incorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.27 and Jensen Alpha of 0.66. However, we advise investors to further question RBC Bearings Incorp expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure RBC Bearings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact RBC Bearings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

RBC Bearings Implied Volatility

RBC Bearings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RBC Bearings Incorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RBC Bearings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RBC Bearings stock will not fluctuate a lot when RBC Bearings' options are near their expiration.
3 Months Beta |Analyze RBC Bearings Incorp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days RBC Bearings correlation with market (DOW)

RBC Bearings Beta

    
  1.22  
RBC Bearings standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.51  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by RBC Bearings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of RBC Bearings stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in RBC Bearings stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in RBC Bearings.

Using RBC Bearings Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on RBC Bearings grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of RBC Bearings at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of RBC Bearings Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge RBC Bearings' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding RBC Bearings will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

RBC Bearings' PUT expiring on 2022-08-19

   Profit   
Share
       RBC Bearings Price At Expiration  

Current RBC Bearings Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $230.0-0.15170.008232022-08-190.0 - 4.84.0View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $240.0-0.19580.012942022-08-190.0 - 4.816.1View
View All RBC Bearings Options

RBC Bearings Incorp Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which RBC Bearings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with RBC Bearings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of RBC Bearings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of RBC Bearings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures RBC Bearings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict RBC Bearings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for RBC Bearings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. RBC Bearings Incorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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RBC Bearings Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2153 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, RBC Bearings will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to RBC Bearings or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that RBC Bearings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a RBC Bearings stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.6569, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
RBC Bearings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how RBC Bearings stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

RBC Bearings Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to RBC Bearings or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that RBC Bearings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a RBC Bearings stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of RBC Bearings is 313.09. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.29 and standard deviation of 2.51. The mean deviation of RBC Bearings Incorp is currently at 1.83. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.24
α
Alpha over DOW
0.66
β
Beta against DOW1.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

RBC Bearings Stock Return Volatility

RBC Bearings historical daily return volatility represents how much RBC Bearings stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 2.5072% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.2622% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About RBC Bearings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of RBC Bearings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of RBC Bearings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to RBC Bearings's beta indicator, it measures the risk of RBC Bearings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of RBC Bearings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization916.8 M900.4 M
RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings and components in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Oxford, Connecticut. RBC Bearings operates under Tools Accessories classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4892 people.

RBC Bearings Investment Opportunity

RBC Bearings Incorp has a volatility of 2.51 and is 1.99 times more volatile than DOW. 21  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than RBC Bearings. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of RBC Bearings Incorp is lower than 21 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Use RBC Bearings Incorp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of RBC Bearings to be traded at $317.84 in 90 days. .

Poor diversification

The correlation between RBC Bearings Incorp and DJI is Poor diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding RBC Bearings Incorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

RBC Bearings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of RBC Bearings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBC Bearings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of RBC Bearings stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.365
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.5986
Mean Deviation1.84
Semi Deviation1.55
Downside Deviation2.15
Coefficient Of Variation345.49
Standard Deviation2.51
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

RBC Bearings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against RBC Bearings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. RBC Bearings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, RBC Bearings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to RBC Bearings Incorp.
Additionally, take a look at Your Equity Center. Note that the RBC Bearings Incorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other RBC Bearings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for RBC Bearings Stock analysis

When running RBC Bearings Incorp price analysis, check to measure RBC Bearings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RBC Bearings is operating at the current time. Most of RBC Bearings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RBC Bearings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RBC Bearings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RBC Bearings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is RBC Bearings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RBC Bearings. If investors know RBC Bearings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RBC Bearings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.15
Market Capitalization
7.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.27
Return On Assets
0.0428
Return On Equity
0.0427
The market value of RBC Bearings Incorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RBC Bearings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RBC Bearings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RBC Bearings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RBC Bearings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RBC Bearings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RBC Bearings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine RBC Bearings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RBC Bearings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.