Mastercard Stock Volatility

MA
 Stock
  

USD 355.33  3.92  1.09%   

We consider Mastercard very steady. Mastercard has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0702, which conveys that the firm had 0.0702% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Mastercard, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify Mastercard Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.084, downside deviation of 2.07, and Mean Deviation of 1.33 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%.
  
Mastercard Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mastercard daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mastercard's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mastercard volatility.

720 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Very Low

720 Days Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the market

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Mastercard's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Mastercard's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Mastercard can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Mastercard at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Mastercard stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Mastercard's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Mastercard

0.77AGMFederal AgriculturalPairCorr
0.89AXPAmerican ExpressPairCorr
0.83BBDCBarings BdcPairCorr

Mastercard Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Mastercard's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mastercard stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mastercard stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mastercard's beta of 1.23 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mastercard stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Mastercard currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. However, we advise investors to further question Mastercard expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mastercard's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mastercard's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Mastercard Implied Volatility

Mastercard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mastercard stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mastercard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mastercard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mastercard's options are near their expiration.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mastercard Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Mastercard correlation with market (DOW)

Mastercard Beta

    
  1.23  
Mastercard standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.81  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Mastercard's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Mastercard's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mastercard stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Mastercard.

Using Mastercard Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Mastercard grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Mastercard at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Mastercard Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Mastercard's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Mastercard will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Mastercard's PUT expiring on 2022-08-19

   Profit   
Share
       Mastercard Price At Expiration  

Current Mastercard Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $540.0-0.97588.0E-412022-08-19183.65 - 185.25185.25View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $460.0-0.98020.001162022-08-19103.75 - 104.9598.95View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $455.0-0.97440.001412022-08-1998.55 - 101.55101.05View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $445.0-0.9490.002232022-08-1988.5 - 90.697.4View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $435.0-0.99247.0E-422022-08-1978.85 - 80.677.5View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $400.0-0.94050.004532022-08-1943.85 - 45.339.2View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $390.0-0.90830.006812022-08-1933.5 - 35.6535.3View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $380.0-0.94920.0073652022-08-1924.1 - 24.9524.3View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $377.5-0.86570.011412022-08-1920.45 - 23.421.55View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $375.0-0.89810.012972022-08-1918.7 - 20.3520.85View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $372.5-0.87650.014782022-08-1916.3 - 18.018.35View
View All Mastercard Options

Mastercard Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mastercard stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mastercard's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mastercard's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mastercard's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Mastercard's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mastercard's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mastercard's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Mastercard Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
.

Mastercard Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2252 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mastercard will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mastercard or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mastercard's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mastercard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.0106, implying that it can generate a 0.0106 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Mastercard's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how mastercard stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Mastercard Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Mastercard Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mastercard or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mastercard's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mastercard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Mastercard is 1423.69. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.28 and standard deviation of 1.81. The mean deviation of Mastercard is currently at 1.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.24
α
Alpha over DOW
0.0106
β
Beta against DOW1.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.0158

Mastercard Stock Return Volatility

Mastercard historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mastercard stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.812% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.1709% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Mastercard Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Mastercard or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Mastercard may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Mastercard's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Mastercard and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Mastercard fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization353.1 B285.6 B
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York. Mastercard operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 24000 people.

Mastercard Investment Opportunity

Mastercard has a volatility of 1.81 and is 1.55 times more volatile than DOW. 15  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Mastercard. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Mastercard is lower than 15 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Use Mastercard to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Mastercard to be traded at $344.67 in 90 days. .

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Mastercard and DJI is Very poor diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mastercard and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Mastercard Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mastercard's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mastercard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mastercard stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.084
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.0979
Mean Deviation1.33
Semi Deviation1.93
Downside Deviation2.07
Coefficient Of Variation1530.19
Standard Deviation1.8
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Mastercard Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mastercard as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mastercard's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mastercard's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mastercard.
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Mastercard information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mastercard's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis

When running Mastercard price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mastercard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mastercard. If investors know Mastercard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mastercard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.13
Market Capitalization
347.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Return On Assets
0.21
Return On Equity
1.51
The market value of Mastercard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mastercard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mastercard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mastercard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mastercard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mastercard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mastercard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mastercard value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mastercard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.