HOSTESS BRANDS (Germany) Volatility

Our approach towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for HOSTESS BRANDS A, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out HOSTESS BRANDS to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%.
  
HOSTESS BRANDS Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of HOSTESS daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use HOSTESS's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of HOSTESS BRANDS volatility.

HOSTESS BRANDS A Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which HOSTESS BRANDS stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with HOSTESS BRANDS's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of HOSTESS BRANDS's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of HOSTESS BRANDS's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures HOSTESS BRANDS's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict HOSTESS BRANDS's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for HOSTESS BRANDS's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on HOSTESS BRANDS's to be redeemed at a future date.
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HOSTESS BRANDS Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon HOSTESS BRANDS has a beta that is very close to zero . This usually indicates the returns on DOW and HOSTESS BRANDS do not appear to be highly-sensitive.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HOSTESS BRANDS or HOSTESS BRANDS A sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HOSTESS BRANDS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HOSTESS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the current equity valuation.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
HOSTESS BRANDS's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how hostess stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a HOSTESS BRANDS Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

HOSTESS BRANDS Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HOSTESS BRANDS or HOSTESS BRANDS A sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HOSTESS BRANDS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HOSTESS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of HOSTESS BRANDS is 0.0. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.0 and standard deviation of 0.0. The mean deviation of HOSTESS BRANDS A is currently at 0.0. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.12
α
Alpha over DOW
0.00
β
Beta against DOW0.00
σ
Overall volatility
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Ir
Information ratio 0.00

HOSTESS BRANDS Stock Return Volatility

HOSTESS BRANDS historical daily return volatility represents how much of HOSTESS BRANDS stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, DOW inherits 1.1293% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

HOSTESS BRANDS Investment Opportunity

DOW has a standard deviation of returns of 1.13 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than HOSTESS BRANDS A. of all equities and portfolios are less risky than HOSTESS BRANDS. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of HOSTESS BRANDS A is lower than 0 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use HOSTESS BRANDS A to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of HOSTESS BRANDS to be traded at €0.0 in 90 days.

HOSTESS BRANDS Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of HOSTESS BRANDS's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HOSTESS BRANDS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of HOSTESS BRANDS stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

HOSTESS BRANDS Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against HOSTESS BRANDS as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. HOSTESS BRANDS's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, HOSTESS BRANDS's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to HOSTESS BRANDS A.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Other Tools for HOSTESS Stock

When running HOSTESS BRANDS A price analysis, check to measure HOSTESS BRANDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HOSTESS BRANDS is operating at the current time. Most of HOSTESS BRANDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HOSTESS BRANDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HOSTESS BRANDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HOSTESS BRANDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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