Grocery Stock Volatility

GO
 Stock
  

USD 35.41  0.86  2.49%   

Grocery Outlet Holding holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had -0.16% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Grocery Outlet Holding exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Grocery Outlet market risk adjusted performance of (0.60), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
  
Grocery Outlet Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Grocery daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Grocery's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Grocery Outlet volatility.

30 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Below Average

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Grocery Outlet can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Grocery Outlet at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Grocery stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Grocery Outlet's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Grocery Outlet

+0.61LBLCFLoblaw CompaniesPairCorr

Moving against Grocery Outlet

-0.89ADOOYAdaro Energy IndonesiaPairCorr
-0.87SGMLSigma Lithium CorpPairCorr
-0.73IBAIndustrias BachocoPairCorr
-0.59SVNDFSeven I HoldingsPairCorr
-0.58SVNDYSeven I HoldingsPairCorr
-0.56HDBHdfc BankPairCorr
-0.53TSLATesla IncPairCorr

Grocery Outlet Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Grocery Outlet's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Grocery stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Grocery stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Grocery Outlet's beta of 0.34 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Grocery Outlet stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Grocery Outlet Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.1 and kurtosis of 1.28. However, we advise investors to further study Grocery Outlet Holding technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grocery Outlet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grocery Outlet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Grocery Outlet Holding Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Grocery Outlet correlation with market (DOW)

Grocery Beta

    
  0.34  
Grocery standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.88  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Grocery Outlet's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Grocery Outlet's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in grocery stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Grocery Outlet.

Using Grocery Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Grocery Outlet grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Grocery Outlet at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Grocery Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Grocery Outlet's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Grocery Outlet will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Grocery Outlet's PUT expiring on 2022-10-21

   Profit   
Share
       Grocery Outlet Price At Expiration  

Current Grocery Outlet Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $45.0-0.78950.031922022-10-218.6 - 10.59.25View
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $40.0-0.80680.059919912022-10-214.5 - 5.15.01View
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $35.0-0.43190.098120602022-10-211.2 - 1.41.37View
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $30.0-0.10560.03632662022-10-210.15 - 0.450.27View
Put
2022-10-21 PUT at $25.0-0.06770.0144512022-10-210.1 - 0.50.15View
View All Grocery Outlet Options

Grocery Outlet Holding Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Grocery Outlet stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Grocery Outlet's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Grocery Outlet's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Grocery Outlet's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Grocery Outlet's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Grocery Outlet's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Grocery Outlet's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Grocery Outlet's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Grocery Outlet Holding Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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Grocery Outlet Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Grocery Outlet has a beta of 0.3438 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grocery Outlet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grocery Outlet Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grocery Outlet or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grocery Outlet's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grocery stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Grocery Outlet Holding is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Grocery Outlet's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how grocery stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Grocery Outlet Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Grocery Outlet Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grocery Outlet or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grocery Outlet's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grocery stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Grocery Outlet is -629.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.53 and standard deviation of 1.88. The mean deviation of Grocery Outlet Holding is currently at 1.38. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.14
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.19
β
Beta against DOW0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Grocery Outlet Stock Return Volatility

Grocery Outlet historical daily return volatility represents how much of Grocery Outlet stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.8797% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.1051% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Grocery Outlet Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Grocery Outlet or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Grocery Outlet may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Grocery's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Grocery Outlet and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Grocery Outlet fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The companys stores offer products in various categories, such as dairy and deli, produce, floral, and fresh meat and seafood products, as well as grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. As of May 10, 2022, it had approximately 420 stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nevada, and New Jersey. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

Grocery Outlet Investment Opportunity

Grocery Outlet Holding has a volatility of 1.88 and is 1.69 times more volatile than DOW. 16  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Grocery Outlet. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Grocery Outlet Holding is lower than 16 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Grocery Outlet Holding to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Grocery Outlet to be traded at $42.49 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Grocery Outlet Holding and DJI is 0.2 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grocery Outlet Holding and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Grocery Outlet Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grocery Outlet's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grocery Outlet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Grocery Outlet stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Grocery Outlet Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Grocery Outlet as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Grocery Outlet's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Grocery Outlet's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Grocery Outlet Holding.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Grocery Outlet Holding price analysis, check to measure Grocery Outlet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grocery Outlet is operating at the current time. Most of Grocery Outlet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grocery Outlet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grocery Outlet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grocery Outlet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Grocery Outlet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grocery Outlet. If investors know Grocery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grocery Outlet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Grocery Outlet Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grocery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grocery Outlet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grocery Outlet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grocery Outlet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grocery Outlet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grocery Outlet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grocery Outlet value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grocery Outlet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.