# Cognyte Stock Volatility

CGNT | Stock | ## USD 4.07 0.03 0.74% |

Cognyte Software secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.01, which signifies that the company had -0.01% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Cognyte Software exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Cognyte Software mean deviation of 2.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.025738) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.

Cognyte |

Cognyte Software Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cognyte daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cognyte's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cognyte Software volatility.

### 300 Days Market Risk

### Chance of Distress

### 300 Days Economic Sensitivity

Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cognyte Software can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cognyte Software at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cognyte stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cognyte Software's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

## Moving together with Cognyte Software

## Moving against Cognyte Software

## Cognyte Software Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Cognyte Software's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cognyte stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cognyte stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cognyte Software's beta of 1.14 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cognyte Software stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.

Cognyte Software exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.36 and kurtosis of 0.68. However, we advise investors to further study Cognyte Software technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cognyte Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cognyte Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall. 3 Months Beta |Analyze Cognyte Software Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Cognyte Software correlation with market (DOW)## Cognyte Beta |

Cognyte standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

## Standard Deviation | 3.7 |

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Cognyte Software's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Cognyte Software's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in cognyte stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Cognyte Software.

## Using Cognyte Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Cognyte Software grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Cognyte Software at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Cognyte Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Cognyte Software's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Cognyte Software will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

### Cognyte Software's PUT expiring on 2022-10-21

Profit |

Share

Cognyte Software Price At Expiration |

### Current Cognyte Software Insurance Chain

Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||

Put | 2022-10-21 PUT at $5.0 | -0.8664 | 0.3026 | 864 | 2022-10-21 | 0.95 - 1.0 | 0.95 | View |

Put | 2022-10-21 PUT at $7.5 | -0.8515 | 0.1195 | 7 | 2022-10-21 | 2.75 - 4.4 | 2.85 | View |

Put | 2022-10-21 PUT at $10.0 | -0.5737 | 0.0829 | 92 | 2022-10-21 | 5.1 - 6.8 | 4.9 | View |

## Cognyte Software Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cognyte Software stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cognyte Software's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cognyte Software's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cognyte Software's volatility:

### Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Cognyte Software's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cognyte Software's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.### Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cognyte Software's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cognyte Software's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |

The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of Cognyte Software price series..

## Cognyte Software Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1413 suggesting Cognyte Software market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cognyte Software is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cognyte Software or Cognyte Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cognyte Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cognyte stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

The company has an alpha of 0.0173, implying that it can generate a 0.0173 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |

Returns |

## What Drives a Cognyte Software Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:### Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.### Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.### The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.## Cognyte Software Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cognyte Software or Cognyte Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cognyte Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cognyte stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Cognyte Software is -10011.89. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 13.71 and standard deviation of 3.7. The mean deviation of Cognyte Software is currently at 2.61. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.14

α | Alpha over DOW | 0.0173 | |

β | Beta against DOW | 1.14 | |

σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |

Ir | Information ratio | 0.0001 |

## Cognyte Software Stock Return Volatility

Cognyte Software historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cognyte Software stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 3.7024% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.1539% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. Performance (%) |

Timeline |

## About Cognyte Software Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cognyte Software or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cognyte Software may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cognyte's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cognyte Software and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cognyte Software fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.

Please read more on our technical analysis page.Cognyte Software Ltd. provides an investigative analytics software to governments and enterprises worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel. Cognyte Software operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2002 people.

## Cognyte Software Investment Opportunity

Cognyte Software has a volatility of 3.7 and is 3.22 times more volatile than DOW.**32**of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Cognyte Software. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Cognyte Software is lower than

**32 ()**of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Cognyte Software to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Cognyte Software to be traded at $4.48 in 90 days.

### Weak diversification

The correlation between Cognyte Software and DJI is

**0.34**(i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cognyte Software and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.## Cognyte Software Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cognyte Software's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cognyte Software's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cognyte Software stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.025738) | |||

Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||

Mean Deviation | 2.78 | |||

Coefficient Of Variation | (3,478) | |||

Standard Deviation | 3.83 | |||

Variance | 14.67 | |||

Information Ratio | 1.0E-4 |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Cognyte Software Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.

The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cognyte Software as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cognyte Software's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cognyte Software's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cognyte Software.

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Is Cognyte Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cognyte Software. If investors know Cognyte will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cognyte Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Cognyte Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cognyte that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cognyte Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cognyte Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cognyte Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cognyte Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cognyte Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cognyte Software value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cognyte Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.