Berkeley Stock Volatility

BLI
 Stock
  

USD 4.97  0.14  2.90%   

Berkeley Lights secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.044, which signifies that the company had -0.044% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Berkeley Lights exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Berkeley Lights mean deviation of 5.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.033303) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
  
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Berkeley Lights Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Berkeley daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Berkeley's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Berkeley Lights volatility.

420 Days Market Risk

Slightly risky

Chance of Distress

Below Average

420 Days Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trends
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Berkeley Lights can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Berkeley Lights at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Berkeley stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Berkeley Lights' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Berkeley Lights Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Berkeley Lights' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Berkeley stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Berkeley stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Berkeley Lights's beta of 2.73 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Berkeley Lights stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Berkeley's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Berkeley Lights will likely underperform.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Berkeley Lights Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Berkeley Lights correlation with market (DOW)

Berkeley Beta

    
  2.73  
Berkeley standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  7.64  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Berkeley Lights's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Berkeley Lights stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Berkeley Lights stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Berkeley Lights.

Berkeley Lights Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Berkeley Lights stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Berkeley Lights' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Berkeley Lights' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Berkeley Lights' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Berkeley Lights' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Berkeley Lights' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Berkeley Lights' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Berkeley Lights Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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Berkeley Lights Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.7261 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Berkeley Lights will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Berkeley Lights or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Berkeley Lights stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Berkeley stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.2476, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Berkeley Lights' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Berkeley Lights stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Berkeley Lights Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Berkeley Lights or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Berkeley Lights stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Berkeley stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Berkeley Lights is -2270.17. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 58.32 and standard deviation of 7.64. The mean deviation of Berkeley Lights is currently at 6.03. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.42
α
Alpha over DOW
0.25
β
Beta against DOW2.73
σ
Overall volatility
7.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.0074

Berkeley Lights Stock Return Volatility

Berkeley Lights historical daily return volatility represents how much Berkeley Lights stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 7.6365% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.4438% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Berkeley Lights Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Berkeley Lights or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Berkeley Lights may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Berkeley's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Berkeley Lights and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Berkeley Lights fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization1.2 B1.3 B
Berkeley Lights, Inc., a digital cell biology company, focuses on enabling and accelerating the rapid development and commercialization of biotherapeutics and other cell-based products. The company offers an integrated platform, which comprise of proprietary consumables, including OptoSelect chips and reagent kits, automation systems, and application and workflow software. It serves in North America, the Asia Pacific, and Europe. Berkeley Lights, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

Berkeley Lights Investment Opportunity

Berkeley Lights has a volatility of 7.64 and is 5.31 times more volatile than DOW. 66  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Berkeley Lights. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Berkeley Lights is higher than 66 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Berkeley Lights to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Berkeley Lights to be traded at $5.96 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Berkeley's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Berkeley Lights will likely underperform.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Berkeley Lights and DJI is Very weak diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Berkeley Lights and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Berkeley Lights Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Berkeley Lights' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Berkeley Lights' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Berkeley Lights stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.033303)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.08)
Mean Deviation5.99
Coefficient Of Variation(3,419)
Standard Deviation7.63
Variance58.17
Information Ratio(0.007439)
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Berkeley Lights Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Berkeley Lights as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Berkeley Lights' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Berkeley Lights' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Berkeley Lights.
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Berkeley Lights information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Berkeley Lights' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Berkeley Stock analysis

When running Berkeley Lights price analysis, check to measure Berkeley Lights' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkeley Lights is operating at the current time. Most of Berkeley Lights' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkeley Lights' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkeley Lights' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkeley Lights to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Berkeley Lights' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Berkeley Lights. If investors know Berkeley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Berkeley Lights listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
335.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.085
Return On Assets
-0.17
Return On Equity
-0.36
The market value of Berkeley Lights is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Berkeley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Berkeley Lights' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Berkeley Lights' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Berkeley Lights' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Berkeley Lights' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Berkeley Lights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Berkeley Lights value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Berkeley Lights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.