Ardor Volatility

Ardor appears to be unusually volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Ardor secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0826, which signifies that digital coin had 0.0826% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the volatility of a crypto is to use all available market data together with crypto-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Ardor technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ardor's to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
Ardor Crypto Coin volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ardor daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ardor's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ardor volatility.
Since volatility provides cryptocurrency investors with entry points to take advantage of coin prices, projects, such as Ardor can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for traders who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional shares of Ardor at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Ardor coin that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Ardor's crypto rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other coins with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and defi or crypto projects the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Ardor

0.67XRPXRPPairCorr
0.75ADACardanoPairCorr
0.62DOTPolkadotPairCorr

Ardor Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ardor's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ardor crypto coin compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ardor crypto coin's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ardor's beta of 0.87 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ardor crypto coin can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Ardor is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. We encourage all investors to investigate this asset further to make sure related market timing strategies are aligned with all the expectations about Ardor implied risk. Ardor is a potential penny crypto. Although Ardor may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny crypto coins are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ardor. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ardor instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ardor Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ardor correlation with market (DOW)

Ardor Beta

    
  0.87  
Ardor standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.3  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ardor's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ardor stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Ardor stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ardor.

Ardor Crypto Coin Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ardor stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ardor's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ardor's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ardor's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ardor's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ardor's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ardor's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ardor Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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Ardor Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ardor has a beta of 0.8725 . This suggests Ardor market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ardor is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ardor or Blockchain sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ardor stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ardor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.003, implying that it can generate a 0.003 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ardor's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Ardor stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ardor Crypto Coin Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ardor or Blockchain sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ardor stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ardor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Ardor is 1210.79. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 39.68 and standard deviation of 6.3. The mean deviation of Ardor is currently at 4.11. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.25
α
Alpha over DOW
0.003
β
Beta against DOW0.87
σ
Overall volatility
6.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.0007

Ardor Crypto Coin Return Volatility

Ardor historical daily return volatility represents how much Ardor stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. Ardor accepts 6.2989% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.2597% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Ardor Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ardor or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ardor may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ardor's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ardor and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ardor fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ardor is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology. Ardor is a multichain blockchain platform with a unique parent-child chain architecture. The security of the whole network is provided by the parent Ardor chain while the interoperable child chains have all the rich functionality. This elegant design and access to hybrid user permissioning capabilities are the key to the flexibility necessary for a variety of use cases and opens the door towards mainstream adoption of blockchain technology. Not only that - Ardor is created with scalability in mind and solves many existing industry problems such as blockchain bloat, single token dependency, and the need for easily customizable-yet-compatible blockchain solutions.Where did Ardor come from Ardor is being developed by Jelurida Swiss SA, founded in 2016. The company started upgrading Nxt blockchain system and created Ardor to provide a platform for facilitated and accelerated transactions

Ardor Investment Opportunity

Ardor has a volatility of 6.3 and is 5.0 times more volatile than DOW. 54  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ardor. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Ardor is higher than 54 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Use Ardor to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The crypto coin experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Ardor to be traded at $0.1045 in 90 days. .

Average diversification

The correlation between Ardor and DJI is Average diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ardor and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Please note that Ardor is a digital instrument and cryptocurrency exchanges were notoriously volatile since the beginning of their establishment.

Ardor Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ardor's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ardor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ardor stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0086
Market Risk Adjusted Performance9.0E-4
Mean Deviation4.4
Semi Deviation6.7
Downside Deviation11.34
Coefficient Of Variation336095.91
Standard Deviation7.02
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ardor Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ardor as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ardor's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ardor's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ardor.
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Ardor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ardor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Other Tools for Ardor Crypto Coin

When running Ardor price analysis, check to measure Ardor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardor is operating at the current time. Most of Ardor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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