National Stock Valuation

NCMI
 Stock
  

USD 0.46  0.01  2.13%   

Do you want to know what the current value of National Cinemedia is today? Calculating the true value of any business is not as easy as it may seem. While the market cap of a public entity, such as National Cinemedia, is its stock price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding, calculating National Cinemedia's enterprise value requires a different approach. It uses National Cinemedia's balance sheet items such as long-term debt, the book value of the preferred stock, minority interest, and other important financials.
The current Free Cash Flow is estimated to increase to about 61.6 M. The current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 1.2 B.
National Cinemedia secures a last-minute Real Value of $1.68 per share. The latest price of the firm is $0.46. National Cinemedia is undervalued. Our model forecasts the value of National Cinemedia from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (16.40) %, return on equity of (0.0291) %, and Current Valuation of 1.23 B as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued stocks and disposing overvalued stocks since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
  
National Cinemedia Valuation Module provides a unique way to ballpark how much the company is worth today. It is done using both, our quantitative analysis of the company fundamentals as well as its intrinsic market price estimation to project the real value. We also take into consideration other essential factors such as National Cinemedia's management style, its c-level domain expertise and tenure, its overall leadership history as well as current capital structure, and future earnings potential.

National Most Recent Valuation Data

EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.07
Price Sales
0.17
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.28
EBITDA
-6.2 M
Dividend Share
0.11
Ex Dividend Date
2022-08-19
Undervalued
Today 0.46
Please note that National Cinemedia's price fluctuation is extremely dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of National Cinemedia is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing National Cinemedia's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for National Cinemedia is useful when determining the fair value of the National stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of National Cinemedia. Since National Cinemedia is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of National Stock. However, National Cinemedia's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
1.68
Real Value
9.36
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of National Cinemedia helps investors to forecast how National stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of National Cinemedia more accurately as focusing exclusively on National Cinemedia's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.8-0.77-0.74
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.020.328.00
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowIncome Per ShareHigh
0.050.110.21
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.505.386.00
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use National Cinemedia's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of National Cinemedia's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against National Cinemedia's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for National Cinemedia, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

National Cinemedia Investments

2.12 Million

National Valuation Drivers Correlation

Many accounts on the financial statements of National Cinemedia are highly interrelated and sometimes correlated. Consequently, when conducting National's valuation analysis, one should examine all of the accounts reported to obtain a complete picture of its financial situation. We provide a unique feature to present a conventional correlation table purposely composed against different valuation-related drivers of National
Click cells to compare fundamentals

National Valuation Trend

Knowing National Cinemedia's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. National Cinemedia's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of National Cinemedia's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both National Cinemedia's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

National Market Cap

National Cinemedia is regarded fourth in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Advertising Agencies industry is now estimated at about 95.91 Billion. National Cinemedia adds roughly 37.45 Million in market capitalization claiming only tiny portion of stocks in Advertising Agencies industry.
Capitalization  Valuation  Total debt  Revenue  Workforce

National Cinemedia Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining National Cinemedia's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare National Cinemedia value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across National Cinemedia competition to find correlations between indicators driving National Cinemedia's intrinsic value. More Info.
National Cinemedia is considered to be number one stock in beta category among related companies. It is considered to be number one stock in price to earning category among related companies reporting about  7.23  of Price to Earning per Beta. The current Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is estimated to increase to about 174.7 M, while Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to decrease to (4.09) .. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value National Cinemedia by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for National Cinemedia's Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the National Cinemedia's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates National Cinemedia's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in National Cinemedia and how it compares across the competition.

About National Cinemedia Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of National Cinemedia on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Cinemedia. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of National Cinemedia based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing National Cinemedia's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Cinemedia's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of National Cinemedia. We calculate exposure to National Cinemedia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Cinemedia's related companies.
Fiscal Year End
December
Industry
Advertising Agencies
Concentration
Advertising
Full Time Employees
346.0
Service Category
Media
Employer Id Number
20-5665602
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Gross Profit42.2 M43.3 M
Profit Margin(83.20) (85.39) 
National Cinemedia's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether National Cinemedia's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of National Cinemedia can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of National Cinemedia represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of National, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

National Cinemedia Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current Dividends per Basic Common Share is estimated to increase to 0.52, while Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions is projected to decrease to (39.7 M). . The current Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is estimated to increase to about 174.7 M, while Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are projected to decrease to (258.7 M).
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions-36.8 M-39.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.12  0.11 
Dividends per Basic Common Share 0.36  0.52 
There are various types of dividends National Cinemedia can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of National shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from National Cinemedia directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When National pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of National Cinemedia by the value of the dividends paid out.

National Cinemedia Valuation Growth Rates

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as National Cinemedia does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Quick Ratio0.49
Revenue Growth379.30%
Enterprise Value To Ebitda-62.31
Enterprise Value To Revenue6.19

National Cinemedia Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of National Cinemedia and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value National we look at many different elements of the entity such as National's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. National Cinemedia's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final National Cinemedia's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as National Cinemedia, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use National Cinemedia's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes National Cinemedia's worth.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running National Cinemedia price analysis, check to measure National Cinemedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Cinemedia is operating at the current time. Most of National Cinemedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Cinemedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Cinemedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Cinemedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Cinemedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Cinemedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Cinemedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.15) 
Market Capitalization
38.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.72
Return On Assets
(0.0053) 
The market value of National Cinemedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Cinemedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Cinemedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Cinemedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Cinemedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Cinemedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Cinemedia value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Cinemedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.