Commvault Stock Technical Analysis

CVLT
 Stock
  

USD 65.99  3.81  6.13%   

As of the 26th of June, Commvault Systems shows the Mean Deviation of 1.83, risk adjusted performance of 0.0099, and Downside Deviation of 2.58. Commvault Systems technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Commvault Systems, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Commvault Systems downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Commvault Systems is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 65.99 per share. Given that Commvault Systems has jensen alpha of 0.1975, we suggest you to validate Commvault Systems's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
  
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Commvault Systems Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Commvault, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Commvault
Commvault Systems' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Commvault Systems Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
78.8Buy5Odds
Commvault Systems current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Commvault analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Commvault stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Commvault Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Commvault conference calls.
Commvault Analyst Advice Details
Commvault Systems technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Commvault Systems technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Commvault Systems trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Commvault Systems Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Commvault Systems volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
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Commvault Systems Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Commvault Systems. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Commvault Systems as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Commvault Systems price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Commvault Systems Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Commvault Systems applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   -0.05  , which may suggest that Commvault Systems market price will keep on failing further. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 103.84, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Commvault Systems price change compared to its average price change.

About Commvault Systems Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Commvault Systems on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commvault Systems based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Commvault Systems stock first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Commvault Systems. By analyzing Commvault Systems's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commvault Systems's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Commvault Systems specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables Turnover4.134.324.975.56
PPandE Turnover5.646.377.327.51

Commvault Systems June 26, 2022 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Commvault help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commvault from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Commvault charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Commvault Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Commvault Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Commvault Stock analysis

When running Commvault Systems price analysis, check to measure Commvault Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commvault Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Commvault Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commvault Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commvault Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commvault Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Commvault Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commvault Systems. If investors know Commvault will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commvault Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.29
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.076
Return On Assets
0.029
Return On Equity
0.1
The market value of Commvault Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commvault that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commvault Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commvault Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commvault Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commvault Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commvault Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Commvault Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commvault Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.