Vertex Energy Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

VTNR
 Stock
  

USD 7.30  0.25  3.55%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Vertex Energy is Strong Buy, with 0 strong sell and 2 strong buy opinions. The current projected Vertex Energy target price consensus is 19.5 with 2 analyst opinions. The most common way Vertex Energy analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Vertex Energy executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on Vertex Energy. We encourage you to use your own analysis of Vertex Energy to validate this buy or sell advice. Vertex Energy buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Vertex Energy target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 7.778. Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vertex Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
As of 08/13/2022, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 7.8 M. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to -16.28. Vertex Energy Total Debt is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Vertex Energy reported last year Total Debt of 22.73 Million. As of 08/13/2022, Debt Current is likely to grow to about 19.5 M, while Goodwill and Intangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 12.5 M.

Vertex Energy Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vertex target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vertex target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions2
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Strong Buy
Most Vertex analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vertex stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vertex Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Vertex Energy Target Price Projection

Vertex Energy's current and average target prices are 7.30 and 19.50, respectively. The current price of Vertex Energy is the price at which Vertex Energy is currently trading. On the other hand, Vertex Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Vertex Energy Market Quote on 13th of August 2022

Low Price6.84Odds
High Price7.4Odds

7.3

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Vertex Energy Target Price

Low Estimate14.0Odds
High Estimate25.0Odds
Number of Analysts2
Standard Deviation7.778

19.5

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Vertex Energy and the information provided on this page.

Vertex Energy Analyst Ratings

Vertex Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Vertex Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Vertex Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Vertex Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Vertex Energy Target Price Projections

Vertex Energy's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Vertex Energy and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Vertex depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Vertex Energy including analysis of its current option contracts.
Vertex Energy's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-08-19 are carrying combined implied volatility of 133.4 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.36 over 21 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-08-19. The current put volume is at 1450, with calls trading at the volume of 3084. This yields a 0.47 put-to-call volume ratio. The Vertex Energy option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Vertex Energy option contracts. It shows all of Vertex Energy's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Vertex Energy option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Vertex Energy's lending market. For example, when Vertex Energy's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Vertex Energy, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Vertex Energy stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Vertex Energy's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Vertex Energy's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Vertex Energy's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Vertex Energy Maximum Pain Price across 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Vertex Energy close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Vertex Energy's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Vertex Energy common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Vertex stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Vertex Energy's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vertex Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Vertex Energy In The Money Call Balance

When Vertex Energy's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Vertex Energy stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Vertex Energy's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Vertex Energy are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Vertex Current Options Market Mood

Vertex Energy's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Vertex Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Vertex Energy's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Vertex Energy's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Vertex Energy's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Vertex Energy Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Vertex Energy is a key component of Vertex Energy valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Vertex Energy.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vertex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vertex Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.367.2515.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.3110.2818.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.6610.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.110.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vertex Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vertex Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vertex Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vertex Energy.

Additional Vertex Energy Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Vertex Energy is a key component of Vertex Energy valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Vertex Energy.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vertex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vertex Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.367.2515.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.3110.2818.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.6610.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.110.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vertex Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vertex Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vertex Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vertex Energy.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested less than 1 share
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vertex Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Vertex Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vertex Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Vertex Stock analysis

When running Vertex Energy price analysis, check to measure Vertex Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
The data published in Vertex Energy's official financial statements usually reflect Vertex Energy's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Vertex Energy. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Vertex accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Vertex Energy's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Energy space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Vertex Energy's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Vertex Energy's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Vertex Energy's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Vertex Energy. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Vertex Energy's management to manipulate its earnings.