Vistra Energy Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

VST
 Stock
  

USD 25.54  0.29  1.12%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Vistra Energy is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 4 strong buy opinions. The current projected Vistra Energy target price consensus is 26.2 with 5 analyst opinions. The most common way Vistra Energy Corp analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Vistra Energy executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Vistra Energy. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Vistra Energy Corp to validate this buy or sell advice. Vistra Energy buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Vistra Energy Corp target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 2.387. Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vistra Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
Profit Margin is likely to drop to -11.38 in 2022. Vistra Energy Receivables is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Vistra Energy reported Receivables of 1.94 Billion in 2021. Accounts Payable is likely to gain to about 1.6 B in 2022, whereas Cash and Equivalents is likely to drop slightly above 1.2 B in 2022.

Vistra Energy Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vistra target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vistra target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions5
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Vistra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Vistra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Vistra Energy Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Vistra Energy Target Price Projection

Vistra Energy's current and average target prices are 25.54 and 26.20, respectively. The current price of Vistra Energy is the price at which Vistra Energy Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Vistra Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Vistra Energy Market Quote on 17th of August 2022

Low Price25.44Odds
High Price25.8Odds

25.54

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Vistra Energy Target Price

Low Estimate23.0Odds
High Estimate29.0Odds
Number of Analysts5
Standard Deviation2.387

26.2

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Vistra Energy Corp and the information provided on this page.

Vistra Energy Analyst Ratings

Vistra Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Vistra Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Vistra Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Vistra Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Vistra Energy Target Price Projections

Vistra Energy's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Vistra Energy Corp and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Vistra depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Vistra Energy Corp including analysis of its current option contracts.
Vistra Energy's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-08-19 are carrying combined implied volatility of 47.69 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.21 over 44 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-08-19. The current put volume is at 504, with calls trading at the volume of 5223. This yields a 0.1 put-to-call volume ratio. The Vistra Energy option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Vistra Energy Corp option contracts. It shows all of Vistra Energy's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Vistra Energy option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Vistra Energy's lending market. For example, when Vistra Energy's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Vistra Energy, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Vistra Energy stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Vistra Energy's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Vistra Energy's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Vistra Energy's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Vistra Energy Maximum Pain Price across 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Vistra Energy close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Vistra Energy's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Vistra Energy Corp common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Vistra stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Vistra Energy's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vistra Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Vistra Energy Corp In The Money Call Balance

When Vistra Energy's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Vistra Energy Corp stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Vistra Energy's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Vistra Energy Corp are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Vistra Current Options Market Mood

Vistra Energy's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Vistra Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Vistra Energy's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Vistra Energy's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Vistra Energy's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Vistra Energy Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Vistra Energy is a key component of Vistra Energy valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Vistra Energy.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vistra Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.1725.5027.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.2525.5827.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.3425.6728.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.50.311.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vistra Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vistra Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vistra Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vistra Energy Corp.

Additional Vistra Energy Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Vistra Energy is a key component of Vistra Energy valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Vistra Energy.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vistra Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.1725.5027.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.2525.5827.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.3425.6728.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.50.311.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vistra Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vistra Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vistra Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vistra Energy Corp.

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Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Vistra Energy to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Vistra Energy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vistra Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running Vistra Energy Corp price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Vistra Energy's official financial statements usually reflect Vistra Energy's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Vistra Energy Corp. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Vistra accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Vistra Energy's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Utilities space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Vistra Energy's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Vistra Energy's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Vistra Energy's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Vistra Energy Corp. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Vistra Energy's management to manipulate its earnings.