United Parcel Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

UPS
 Stock
  

USD 164.33  3.53  2.10%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on United Parcel is Buy with 7 hold recommendations. The current projected United Parcel target price consensus is 216.32 with 19 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways United Parcel Service analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to United Parcel vendors, executives, and/or customers. United Parcel recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected United Parcel Service target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 34.551. Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on United Parcel to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

United Parcel Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. United target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. United target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions19
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most United analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand United stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of United Parcel Service, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

United Parcel Target Price Projection

United Parcel's current and average target prices are 164.33 and 216.31, respectively. The current price of United Parcel is the price at which United Parcel Service is currently trading. On the other hand, United Parcel's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

United Parcel Market Quote on 24th of September 2022

Low Price161.9Odds
High Price165.66Odds

164.33

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On United Parcel Target Price

Low Estimate135.0Odds
High Estimate260.0Odds
Number of Analysts19
Standard Deviation34.551

216.315

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on United Parcel Service and the information provided on this page.

United Parcel Analyst Ratings

United Parcel's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about United Parcel stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of United Parcel's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. United Parcel's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About United Parcel Target Price Projections

United Parcel's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as United Parcel Service and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of United depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for United Parcel Service including analysis of its current option contracts.
United Parcel's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-09-30 are carrying combined implied volatility of 37.59 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.6 over 108 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-09-30. The current put volume is at 1989, with calls trading at the volume of 1733. This yields a 1.15 put-to-call volume ratio. The United Parcel option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current United Parcel Service option contracts. It shows all of United Parcel's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

United Parcel option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in United Parcel's lending market. For example, when United Parcel's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on United Parcel, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting United Parcel stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows United Parcel's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. United Parcel's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for United Parcel's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

United Parcel Maximum Pain Price across 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as United Parcel close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
United Parcel's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of United Parcel Service common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell United stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If United Parcel's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on United Parcel to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

United Parcel Service In The Money Call Balance

When United Parcel's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against United Parcel Service stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying United Parcel's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on United Parcel Service are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

United Current Options Market Mood

United Parcel's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps United Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of United Parcel's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. United Parcel's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current United Parcel's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional United Parcel Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of United Parcel is a key component of United Parcel valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a United Parcel.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Parcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Parcel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
172.39174.03175.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
169.97171.61191.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Parcel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Parcel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Parcel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Parcel Service.

Additional United Parcel Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of United Parcel is a key component of United Parcel valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a United Parcel.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Parcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Parcel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
172.39174.03175.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
169.97171.61191.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Parcel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Parcel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Parcel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Parcel Service.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Healthcare
Invested over 70 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 200 shares
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on United Parcel to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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When running United Parcel Service price analysis, check to measure United Parcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Parcel is operating at the current time. Most of United Parcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Parcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Parcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Parcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in United Parcel's official financial statements usually reflect United Parcel's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of United Parcel Service. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by United accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what United Parcel's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Industrials space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of United Parcel's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, United Parcel's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in United Parcel's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of United Parcel Service. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of United Parcel's management to manipulate its earnings.