UBS Group Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

UBS
 Stock
  

USD 18.13  0.42  2.26%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on UBS Group is Sell, with 1 strong sell and 0 strong buy opinions. The current projected UBS Group target price consensus is 13.69 with 3 analyst opinions. The most common way UBS Group Ag analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview UBS Group executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on UBS Group. We encourage you to use your own analysis of UBS Group Ag to validate this buy or sell advice. UBS Group buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected UBS Group Ag target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 4.837. Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on UBS Group to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

UBS Group Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. UBS Group target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. UBS Group target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions4
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Sell
Most UBS Group analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand UBS Group stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of UBS Group Ag, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

UBS Group Target Price Projection

UBS Group's current and average target prices are 18.13 and 13.69, respectively. The current price of UBS Group is the price at which UBS Group Ag is currently trading. On the other hand, UBS Group's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

UBS Group Market Quote on 28th of November 2022

Low Price18.12Odds
High Price18.44Odds

18.13

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On UBS Group Target Price

Low Estimate8.16Odds
High Estimate17.15Odds
Number of Analysts3
Standard Deviation4.837

13.686

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on UBS Group Ag and the information provided on this page.

UBS Group Analyst Ratings

UBS Group's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about UBS Group stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of UBS Group's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. UBS Group's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About UBS Group Target Price Projections

UBS Group's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as UBS Group Ag and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of UBS Group depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for UBS Group Ag including analysis of its current option contracts.
UBS Group's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-12-16 are carrying combined implied volatility of 31.22 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.27 over 22 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-12-16. The current put volume is at 8, with calls trading at the volume of 107. This yields a 0.07 put-to-call volume ratio. The UBS Group option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current UBS Group Ag option contracts. It shows all of UBS Group's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.
UBS Group's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of UBS Group Ag common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell UBS Group stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If UBS Group's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on UBS Group to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

UBS Group Ag In The Money Call Balance

When UBS Group's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against UBS Group Ag stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying UBS Group's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on UBS Group Ag are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

UBS Group Current Options Market Mood

UBS Group's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps UBS Group Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of UBS Group's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. UBS Group's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current UBS Group's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional UBS Group Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of UBS Group is a key component of UBS Group valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a UBS Group.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of UBS Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of UBS Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.2318.7621.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.6217.1519.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.1918.7321.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.171.171.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UBS Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UBS Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UBS Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in UBS Group Ag.

Additional UBS Group Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of UBS Group is a key component of UBS Group valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a UBS Group.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of UBS Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of UBS Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.2318.7621.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.6217.1519.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.1918.7321.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.171.171.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UBS Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UBS Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UBS Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in UBS Group Ag.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Diversified Assets
Invested over 90 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Baby Boomer Prospects
Invested over 90 shares
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on UBS Group to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the UBS Group Ag information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UBS Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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The data published in UBS Group's official financial statements usually reflect UBS Group's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of UBS Group Ag. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by UBS Group accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what UBS Group's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Financial Services space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of UBS Group's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, UBS Group's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in UBS Group's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of UBS Group Ag. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of UBS Group's management to manipulate its earnings.