Royal Caribbean Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

RCL
 Stock
  

USD 44.96  1.49  3.43%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Royal Caribbean is Buy, with 10 strong buy opinions. The current projected Royal Caribbean target price consensus is 101.67 with 9 analyst opinions. The most common way Royal Caribbean Cruises analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Royal Caribbean executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Royal Caribbean buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Royal Caribbean Cruises target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 11.313. Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Royal Caribbean to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

Royal Caribbean Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Royal target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Royal target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions13
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Royal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Royal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Royal Caribbean Cruises, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Royal Caribbean Target Price Projection

Royal Caribbean's current and average target prices are 44.96 and 101.67, respectively. The current price of Royal Caribbean is the price at which Royal Caribbean Cruises is currently trading. On the other hand, Royal Caribbean's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Royal Caribbean Market Quote on 6th of October 2022

Low Price42.61Odds
High Price45.19Odds

44.96

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Royal Caribbean Target Price

Low Estimate85.0Odds
High Estimate120.0Odds
Number of Analysts9
Standard Deviation11.313

101.666

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Royal Caribbean Cruises and the information provided on this page.

Royal Caribbean Analyst Ratings

Royal Caribbean's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Royal Caribbean stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Royal Caribbean's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Royal Caribbean's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Royal Caribbean Target Price Projections

Royal Caribbean's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Royal Caribbean Cruises and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Royal depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Royal Caribbean Cruises including analysis of its current option contracts.
Royal Caribbean's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-10-07 are carrying combined implied volatility of 154.57 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 1.41 over 144 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-10-07. The current put volume is at 7064, with calls trading at the volume of 5589. This yields a 1.26 put-to-call volume ratio. The Royal Caribbean option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Royal Caribbean Cruises option contracts. It shows all of Royal Caribbean's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-10-07 Option Contracts

Royal Caribbean option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Royal Caribbean's lending market. For example, when Royal Caribbean's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Royal Caribbean, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Royal Caribbean stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Royal Caribbean's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Royal Caribbean's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Royal Caribbean's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Royal Caribbean Maximum Pain Price across 2022-10-07 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Royal Caribbean close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Royal Caribbean's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Royal Caribbean Cruises common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Royal stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Royal Caribbean's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Royal Caribbean to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Royal Caribbean Cruises In The Money Call Balance

When Royal Caribbean's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Royal Caribbean Cruises stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Royal Caribbean's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Royal Caribbean Cruises are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Royal Current Options Market Mood

Royal Caribbean's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Royal Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Royal Caribbean's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Royal Caribbean's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Royal Caribbean's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Royal Caribbean Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Royal Caribbean is a key component of Royal Caribbean valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Royal Caribbean.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Caribbean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Royal Caribbean in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
37.6542.6047.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.1257.6662.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Royal Caribbean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Royal Caribbean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Royal Caribbean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Royal Caribbean Cruises.

Additional Royal Caribbean Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Royal Caribbean is a key component of Royal Caribbean valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Royal Caribbean.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Caribbean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Royal Caribbean in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
37.6542.6047.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.1257.6662.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Royal Caribbean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Royal Caribbean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Royal Caribbean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Royal Caribbean Cruises.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Management
Invested over 90 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Royal Caribbean to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Royal Caribbean Cruises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Royal Caribbean's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Royal Stock analysis

When running Royal Caribbean Cruises price analysis, check to measure Royal Caribbean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Caribbean is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Caribbean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Caribbean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Caribbean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Caribbean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
The data published in Royal Caribbean's official financial statements usually reflect Royal Caribbean's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Royal Caribbean Cruises. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Royal accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Royal Caribbean's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Royal Caribbean's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Royal Caribbean's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Royal Caribbean's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Royal Caribbean Cruises. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Royal Caribbean's management to manipulate its earnings.