Pool Corp Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

POOL -  USA Stock  

USD 401.18  9.98  2.43%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Pool Corp is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 3 strong buy opinions. The current projected Pool Corp target price consensus is 518.0 with 5 analyst opinions. The most common way Pool Corp analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Pool Corp executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Pool Corp. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Pool Corp to validate this buy or sell advice. Pool Corp buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Pool Corp target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 89.274. Please check Macroaxis Advice on Pool Corp to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Pool Corp Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Pool Corp target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Pool Corp target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions6
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Pool Corp analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Pool Corp stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Pool Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Pool Corp Target Price Projection

Pool Corp's current and average target prices are 401.18 and 518.00, respectively. The current price of Pool Corp is the price at which Pool Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Pool Corp's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Pool Corp Market Quote on 16th of May 2022

Low Price396.63Odds
High Price408.57Odds

401.18

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Pool Corp Target Price

Low Estimate360.0Odds
High Estimate570.0Odds
Number of Analysts5
Standard Deviation89.274

518.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Pool Corp and the information provided on this page.

Pool Corp Analyst Ratings

Pool Corp's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Pool Corp stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Pool Corp's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Pool Corp's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Pool Corp Target Price Projections

Pool Corp's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Pool Corp and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Pool Corp depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Pool Corp including analysis of its current option contracts.
Pool Corp's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-20 are carrying combined implied volatility of 30.34 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 3.47 over 86 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-05-20. The current put volume is at 89, with calls trading at the volume of 109. This yields a 0.82 put-to-call volume ratio. The Pool Corp option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Pool Corp option contracts. It shows all of Pool Corp's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-05-20 Option Contracts

Pool Corp option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Pool Corp's lending market. For example, when Pool Corp's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Pool Corp, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Pool Corp stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Pool Corp's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Pool Corp's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Pool Corp's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Pool Corp Maximum Pain Price across 2022-05-20 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Pool Corp close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Pool Corp's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Pool Corp common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Pool Corp stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Pool Corp's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please check Macroaxis Advice on Pool Corp to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Pool Corp In The Money Call Balance

When Pool Corp's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Pool Corp stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Pool Corp's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Pool Corp are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Pool Corp Current Options Market Mood

Pool Corp's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Pool Corp Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Pool Corp's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Pool Corp's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Pool Corp's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Pool Corp Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Pool Corp is a key component of Pool Corp valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Pool Corp.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pool Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pool Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
399.44402.14404.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
361.06467.75470.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
394.65397.35400.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
15.1515.1715.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pool Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pool Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pool Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pool Corp.

Additional Pool Corp Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Pool Corp is a key component of Pool Corp valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Pool Corp.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pool Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pool Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
399.44402.14404.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
361.06467.75470.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
394.65397.35400.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
15.1515.1715.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pool Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pool Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pool Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pool Corp.

Currently Trending Themes

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Please check Macroaxis Advice on Pool Corp to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Pool Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pool Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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The data published in Pool Corp's official financial statements usually reflect Pool Corp's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Pool Corp. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Pool Corp accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Pool Corp's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Pool Corp's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Pool Corp's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Pool Corp's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Pool Corp. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Pool Corp's management to manipulate its earnings.