Northwest Bancshares Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

NWBI -  USA Stock  

USD 12.37  0.21  1.67%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Northwest Bancshares is Hold with 7 hold recommendations. The current projected Northwest Bancshares target price consensus is 13.6 with 5 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Northwest Bancshares analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Northwest Bancshares vendors, executives, and/or customers. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Northwest Bancshares. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Northwest Bancshares to validate this buy or sell advice. Northwest Bancshares recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Northwest Bancshares target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 0.961. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Northwest Bancshares to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Northwest Bancshares Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Northwest target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Northwest target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions7
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Northwest analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Northwest stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Northwest Bancshares, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Northwest Bancshares Target Price Projection

Northwest Bancshares' current and average target prices are 12.37 and 13.60, respectively. The current price of Northwest Bancshares is the price at which Northwest Bancshares is currently trading. On the other hand, Northwest Bancshares' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Northwest Bancshares Market Quote on 24th of May 2022

Low Price12.37Odds
High Price12.37Odds

12.37

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Northwest Bancshares Target Price

Low Estimate12.0Odds
High Estimate14.5Odds
Number of Analysts5
Standard Deviation0.961

13.6

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Northwest Bancshares and the information provided on this page.

Northwest Bancshares Analyst Ratings

Northwest Bancshares' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Northwest Bancshares stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Northwest Bancshares' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Northwest Bancshares' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Northwest Bancshares Target Price Projections

Northwest Bancshares's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Northwest Bancshares and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Northwest depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Northwest Bancshares including analysis of its current option contracts.
Northwest Bancshares' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-06-17 are carrying combined implied volatility of 33.89 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 2.23 over 20 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-06-17. The current put volume is at 1, with calls trading at the volume of 9. This yields a 0.11 put-to-call volume ratio. The Northwest Bancshares option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Northwest Bancshares option contracts. It shows all of Northwest Bancshares' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-06-17 Option Contracts

Northwest Bancshares option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Northwest Bancshares' lending market. For example, when Northwest Bancshares' puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Northwest Bancshares, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Northwest Bancshares stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Northwest Bancshares' distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Northwest Bancshares' open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Northwest Bancshares' option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Northwest Bancshares Maximum Pain Price across 2022-06-17 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Northwest Bancshares close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Northwest Bancshares' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Northwest Bancshares common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Northwest stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Northwest Bancshares' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Northwest Bancshares to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Northwest Bancshares In The Money Call Balance

When Northwest Bancshares' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Northwest Bancshares stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Northwest Bancshares' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Northwest Bancshares are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Northwest Current Options Market Mood

Northwest Bancshares' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Northwest Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Northwest Bancshares' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Northwest Bancshares' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Northwest Bancshares' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Northwest Bancshares Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Northwest Bancshares is a key component of Northwest Bancshares valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Northwest Bancshares.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northwest Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northwest Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.1012.5213.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.8013.2214.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.2912.7114.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.971.081.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northwest Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northwest Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northwest Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Northwest Bancshares.

Additional Northwest Bancshares Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Northwest Bancshares is a key component of Northwest Bancshares valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Northwest Bancshares.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northwest Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northwest Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.1012.5213.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.8013.2214.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.2912.7114.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.971.081.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northwest Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northwest Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northwest Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Northwest Bancshares.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Software
Invested few shares
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Northwest Bancshares to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Northwest Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northwest Bancshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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The data published in Northwest Bancshares' official financial statements usually reflect Northwest Bancshares' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Northwest Bancshares. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Northwest accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Northwest Bancshares' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Financial Services space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Northwest Bancshares' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Northwest Bancshares' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Northwest Bancshares' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Northwest Bancshares. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Northwest Bancshares' management to manipulate its earnings.