Annaly Capital Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

NLY
 Stock
  

USD 6.82  0.07  1.04%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Annaly Capital is Hold with 4 hold recommendations. The current projected Annaly Capital target price consensus is 8.99 with 6 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Annaly Capital Management analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Annaly Capital vendors, executives, and/or customers. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Annaly Capital. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Annaly Capital Management to validate this buy or sell advice. Annaly Capital recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Annaly Capital Management target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 0.361. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Annaly Capital to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
Gross Profit is likely to drop to about (676.4 M) in 2022. Profit Margin is likely to drop to 61.89 in 2022. Annaly Capital Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Annaly Capital reported Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income of 3.04 Billion in 2021. Total Assets is likely to rise to about 96.5 B in 2022, whereas Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 5.7 B in 2022.

Annaly Capital Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Annaly target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Annaly target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions7
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Annaly analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Annaly stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Annaly Capital Management, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Annaly Capital Target Price Projection

Annaly Capital's current and average target prices are 6.82 and 8.99, respectively. The current price of Annaly Capital is the price at which Annaly Capital Management is currently trading. On the other hand, Annaly Capital's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Annaly Capital Market Quote on 13th of August 2022

Low Price6.75Odds
High Price6.84Odds

6.82

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Annaly Capital Target Price

Low Estimate8.5Odds
High Estimate9.5Odds
Number of Analysts6
Standard Deviation0.361

8.991

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Annaly Capital Management and the information provided on this page.

Annaly Capital Analyst Ratings

Annaly Capital's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Annaly Capital stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Annaly Capital's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Annaly Capital's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Annaly Capital Target Price Projections

Annaly Capital's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Annaly Capital Management and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Annaly depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Annaly Capital Management including analysis of its current option contracts.
Annaly Capital's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-08-12 are carrying combined implied volatility of 19.79 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 1.01 over 44 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-08-12. The current put volume is at 341, with calls trading at the volume of 454. This yields a 0.75 put-to-call volume ratio. The Annaly Capital option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Annaly Capital Management option contracts. It shows all of Annaly Capital's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-08-12 Option Contracts

Annaly Capital option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Annaly Capital's lending market. For example, when Annaly Capital's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Annaly Capital, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Annaly Capital stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Annaly Capital's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Annaly Capital's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Annaly Capital's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Annaly Capital Maximum Pain Price across 2022-08-12 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Annaly Capital close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Annaly Capital's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Annaly Capital Management common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Annaly stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Annaly Capital's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Annaly Capital to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Annaly Current Options Market Mood

Annaly Capital's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Annaly Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Annaly Capital's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Annaly Capital's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Annaly Capital's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Annaly Capital Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Annaly Capital is a key component of Annaly Capital valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Annaly Capital.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Annaly Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Annaly Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
4.696.818.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.607.729.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.606.738.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.131.141.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Annaly Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Annaly Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Annaly Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Annaly Capital Management.

Additional Annaly Capital Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Annaly Capital is a key component of Annaly Capital valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Annaly Capital.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Annaly Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Annaly Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
4.696.818.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.607.729.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.606.738.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.131.141.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Annaly Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Annaly Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Annaly Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Annaly Capital Management.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested less than 1 share
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Annaly Capital to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Annaly Capital Management information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Annaly Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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The data published in Annaly Capital's official financial statements usually reflect Annaly Capital's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Annaly Capital Management. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Annaly accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Annaly Capital's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Real Estate space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Annaly Capital's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Annaly Capital's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Annaly Capital's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Annaly Capital Management. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Annaly Capital's management to manipulate its earnings.