Norwegian Cruise Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

NCLH -  USA Stock  

USD 15.30  0.65  4.08%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Norwegian Cruise is Hold with 4 hold recommendations. The current projected Norwegian Cruise target price consensus is 30.0 with 9 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Norwegian Cruise Ord analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Norwegian Cruise vendors, executives, and/or customers. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Norwegian Cruise. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Norwegian Cruise Ord to validate this buy or sell advice. Norwegian Cruise recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Norwegian Cruise Ord target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 6.364. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Norwegian Cruise to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Norwegian Cruise Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Norwegian target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Norwegian target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions9
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Norwegian analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Norwegian stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Norwegian Cruise Ord, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Norwegian Cruise Target Price Projection

Norwegian Cruise's current and average target prices are 15.30 and 30.00, respectively. The current price of Norwegian Cruise is the price at which Norwegian Cruise Ord is currently trading. On the other hand, Norwegian Cruise's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Norwegian Cruise Market Quote on 22nd of May 2022

Low Price14.79Odds
High Price16.47Odds

15.3

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Norwegian Cruise Target Price

Low Estimate22.0Odds
High Estimate39.0Odds
Number of Analysts9
Standard Deviation6.364

30.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Norwegian Cruise Ord and the information provided on this page.

Norwegian Cruise Analyst Ratings

Norwegian Cruise's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Norwegian Cruise stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Norwegian Cruise's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Norwegian Cruise's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Norwegian Cruise Target Price Projections

Norwegian Cruise's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Norwegian Cruise Ord and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Norwegian depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Norwegian Cruise Ord including analysis of its current option contracts.
Norwegian Cruise's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-27 are carrying combined implied volatility of 82.54 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.89 over 76 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-05-27. The current put volume is at 12098, with calls trading at the volume of 2277. This yields a 5.31 put-to-call volume ratio. The Norwegian Cruise option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Norwegian Cruise Ord option contracts. It shows all of Norwegian Cruise's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Norwegian Cruise option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Norwegian Cruise's lending market. For example, when Norwegian Cruise's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Norwegian Cruise, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Norwegian Cruise stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Norwegian Cruise's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Norwegian Cruise's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Norwegian Cruise's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Norwegian Cruise Maximum Pain Price across 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Norwegian Cruise close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Norwegian Cruise's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Norwegian Cruise Ord common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Norwegian stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Norwegian Cruise's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Norwegian Cruise to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Norwegian Cruise Ord In The Money Call Balance

When Norwegian Cruise's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Norwegian Cruise Ord stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Norwegian Cruise's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Norwegian Cruise Ord are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Norwegian Current Options Market Mood

Norwegian Cruise's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Norwegian Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Norwegian Cruise's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Norwegian Cruise's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Norwegian Cruise's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Norwegian Cruise Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Norwegian Cruise is a key component of Norwegian Cruise valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Norwegian Cruise.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norwegian Cruise's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Norwegian Cruise in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.3715.6019.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.2319.4623.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-8.84-8.23-7.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norwegian Cruise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norwegian Cruise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norwegian Cruise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Norwegian Cruise Ord.

Additional Norwegian Cruise Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Norwegian Cruise is a key component of Norwegian Cruise valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Norwegian Cruise.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norwegian Cruise's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Norwegian Cruise in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.3715.6019.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.2319.4623.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-8.84-8.23-7.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norwegian Cruise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norwegian Cruise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norwegian Cruise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Norwegian Cruise Ord.

Currently Trending Themes

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Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Norwegian Cruise to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Norwegian Cruise Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Norwegian Cruise's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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The data published in Norwegian Cruise's official financial statements usually reflect Norwegian Cruise's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Norwegian Cruise Ord. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Norwegian accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Norwegian Cruise's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Norwegian Cruise's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Norwegian Cruise's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Norwegian Cruise's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Norwegian Cruise Ord. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Norwegian Cruise's management to manipulate its earnings.