Mercadolibre Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

MELI -  USA Stock  

USD 1,053  76.27  6.75%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Mercadolibre is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 9 strong buy opinions. The current projected Mercadolibre target price consensus is 2059.23 with 13 analyst opinions. The most common way Mercadolibre analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Mercadolibre executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Mercadolibre buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Mercadolibre target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 189.756. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Mercadolibre to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Mercadolibre Analyst Recommendations 

 
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The current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 1.8 B, while Profit Margin is projected to decrease to (0.07) . Mercadolibre Assets Non Current are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Assets Non Current was reported at 1.18 Billion. The current Cash and Equivalents is estimated to increase to about 2.7 B, while Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is projected to decrease to (480.6 M).

Mercadolibre Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Mercadolibre target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mercadolibre target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions11
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Mercadolibre analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mercadolibre stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mercadolibre, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Mercadolibre Target Price Projection

Mercadolibre's current and average target prices are 1,053 and 2,059, respectively. The current price of Mercadolibre is the price at which Mercadolibre is currently trading. On the other hand, Mercadolibre's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Mercadolibre Market Quote on 4th of December 2021

Low Price1040.84Odds
High Price1138.14Odds

1052.95

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Mercadolibre Target Price

Low Estimate1720.0Odds
High Estimate2420.0Odds
Number of Analysts13
Standard Deviation189.756

2059.23

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Mercadolibre and the information provided on this page.

Mercadolibre Analyst Ratings

Mercadolibre's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Mercadolibre stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Mercadolibre's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Mercadolibre's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Mercadolibre Target Price Projections

Mercadolibre's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Mercadolibre and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Mercadolibre depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Mercadolibre including analysis of its current option contracts.
Mercadolibre's latest option contracts expiring on 2021-12-10 are carrying combined implied volatility of 55.98 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.83 over 382 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2021-12-10. The current put volume is at 604, with calls trading at the volume of 1041. This yields a 0.58 put-to-call volume ratio. The Mercadolibre option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Mercadolibre option contracts. It shows all of Mercadolibre's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2021-12-10 Option Contracts

Mercadolibre option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Mercadolibre's lending market. For example, when Mercadolibre's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Mercadolibre, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Mercadolibre stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Mercadolibre's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Mercadolibre's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Mercadolibre's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Mercadolibre Maximum Pain Price accross 2021-12-10 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Mercadolibre close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Mercadolibre's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Mercadolibre common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Mercadolibre stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Mercadolibre's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Mercadolibre to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Mercadolibre In The Money Call Balance

When Mercadolibre's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Mercadolibre stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Mercadolibre's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Mercadolibre are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Mercadolibre Current Options Market Mood

Mercadolibre's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Mercadolibre Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Mercadolibre's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Mercadolibre's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Mercadolibre's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Mercadolibre Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Mercadolibre is a key component of Mercadolibre valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Mercadolibre.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercadolibre's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mercadolibre in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,0301,0331,158
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
947.661,2811,284
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
997.19999.931,003
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.713.095.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercadolibre. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercadolibre's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercadolibre's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mercadolibre.

Additional Mercadolibre Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Mercadolibre is a key component of Mercadolibre valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Mercadolibre.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercadolibre's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mercadolibre in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,0301,0331,158
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
947.661,2811,284
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
997.19999.931,003
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.713.095.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercadolibre. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercadolibre's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercadolibre's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mercadolibre.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Chemicals
Invested over 40 shares
Impulse
Invested over 50 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested few shares
Momentum
Invested over 100 shares
Social Domain
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Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Mercadolibre to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Mercadolibre information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercadolibre's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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The data published in Mercadolibre's official financial statements usually reflect Mercadolibre's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Mercadolibre. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Mercadolibre accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Mercadolibre's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Mercadolibre's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Mercadolibre's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Mercadolibre's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Mercadolibre. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Mercadolibre's management to manipulate its earnings.