Invesco Mortgage Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

IVR
 Stock
  

USD 12.97  0.28  2.11%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Invesco Mortgage is Sell, with 0 strong buy opinions. The current projected Invesco Mortgage target price consensus is 3.0 with 1 analyst opinions. The most common way Invesco Mortgage Capital analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Invesco Mortgage executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on Invesco Mortgage. We encourage you to use your own analysis of Invesco Mortgage Capital to validate this buy or sell advice. Invesco Mortgage buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Invesco Mortgage Capital target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its projected price volatility. Please see Macroaxis Advice on Invesco Mortgage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
As of 12/02/2022, Profit Margin is likely to grow to 48.96, while Gross Profit is likely to drop (62.4 M). Invesco Mortgage Shareholders Equity is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Invesco Mortgage reported last year Shareholders Equity of 1.4 Billion. As of 12/02/2022, Investments is likely to grow to about 277.1 K, while Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 11.9 B.

Invesco Mortgage Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Invesco target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Invesco target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of OpinionsOne
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Sell
Most Invesco analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Invesco stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Invesco Mortgage Capital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Invesco Mortgage Target Price Projection

Invesco Mortgage's current and average target prices are 12.97 and 3.00, respectively. The current price of Invesco Mortgage is the price at which Invesco Mortgage Capital is currently trading. On the other hand, Invesco Mortgage's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Invesco Mortgage Market Quote on 2nd of December 2022

Low Price12.83Odds
High Price13.01Odds

12.97

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Invesco Mortgage Target Price

Low Estimate3.0Odds
High Estimate3.0Odds
Number of AnalystsOne
Standard Deviation0.0

3.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Invesco Mortgage Capital and the information provided on this page.

Invesco Mortgage Analyst Ratings

Invesco Mortgage's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Invesco Mortgage stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Invesco Mortgage's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Invesco Mortgage's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Invesco Mortgage Target Price Projections

Invesco Mortgage's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Invesco Mortgage Capital and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Invesco depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Invesco Mortgage Capital including analysis of its current option contracts.
Invesco Mortgage's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-12-02 are carrying combined implied volatility of 56.11 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.18 over 70 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-12-02. The current put volume is at 10, with calls trading at the volume of 56. This yields a 0.18 put-to-call volume ratio. The Invesco Mortgage option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Invesco Mortgage Capital option contracts. It shows all of Invesco Mortgage's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-12-02 Option Contracts

Invesco Mortgage option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Invesco Mortgage's lending market. For example, when Invesco Mortgage's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Invesco Mortgage, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Invesco Mortgage stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Invesco Mortgage's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Invesco Mortgage's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Invesco Mortgage's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Invesco Mortgage Maximum Pain Price across 2022-12-02 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Invesco Mortgage close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Invesco Mortgage's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Invesco Mortgage Capital common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Invesco stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Invesco Mortgage's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please see Macroaxis Advice on Invesco Mortgage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Invesco Mortgage Capital In The Money Call Balance

When Invesco Mortgage's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Invesco Mortgage Capital stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Invesco Mortgage's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Invesco Mortgage Capital are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Invesco Current Options Market Mood

Invesco Mortgage's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Invesco Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Invesco Mortgage's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Invesco Mortgage's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Invesco Mortgage's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Invesco Mortgage Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Invesco Mortgage is a key component of Invesco Mortgage valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Invesco Mortgage.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco Mortgage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.1312.9316.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.747.5414.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.3113.1116.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.410.410.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Mortgage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Mortgage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Mortgage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco Mortgage Capital.

Additional Invesco Mortgage Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Invesco Mortgage is a key component of Invesco Mortgage valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Invesco Mortgage.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco Mortgage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.1312.9316.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.747.5414.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.3113.1116.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.410.410.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Mortgage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Mortgage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Mortgage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco Mortgage Capital.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Technology
Invested over 20 shares
Impulse
Invested over 200 shares
Corona Opportunity
Invested few shares
Diversified Assets
Invested over 60 shares
Disruptive Technologies
Invested few shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested one share
Iron
Invested one share
Power Stocks
Invested one share
Please see Macroaxis Advice on Invesco Mortgage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Invesco Mortgage Capital price analysis, check to measure Invesco Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
The data published in Invesco Mortgage's official financial statements usually reflect Invesco Mortgage's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Invesco Mortgage Capital. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Invesco accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Invesco Mortgage's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Invesco Mortgage's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Invesco Mortgage's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Invesco Mortgage's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Invesco Mortgage Capital. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Invesco Mortgage's management to manipulate its earnings.