Grocery Outlet Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

GO
 Stock
  

USD 44.92  0.42  0.93%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Grocery Outlet is Hold with 6 hold recommendations. The current projected Grocery Outlet target price consensus is 30.22 with 9 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Grocery Outlet Holding analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Grocery Outlet vendors, executives, and/or customers. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Grocery Outlet. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Grocery Outlet Holding to validate this buy or sell advice. Grocery Outlet recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Grocery Outlet Holding target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 5.262. Please check Macroaxis Advice on Grocery Outlet to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
The value of Gross Profit is estimated to slide to about 831.9 M. The value of Profit Margin is estimated to slide to 0.0158.

Grocery Outlet Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Grocery target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Grocery target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions9
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Grocery analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Grocery stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Grocery Outlet Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Grocery Outlet Target Price Projection

Grocery Outlet's current and average target prices are 44.92 and 30.22, respectively. The current price of Grocery Outlet is the price at which Grocery Outlet Holding is currently trading. On the other hand, Grocery Outlet's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Grocery Outlet Market Quote on 10th of August 2022

Low Price44.41Odds
High Price45.97Odds

44.92

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Grocery Outlet Target Price

Low Estimate26.0Odds
High Estimate42.0Odds
Number of Analysts9
Standard Deviation5.262

30.222

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Grocery Outlet Holding and the information provided on this page.

Grocery Outlet Analyst Ratings

Grocery Outlet's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Grocery Outlet stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Grocery Outlet's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Grocery Outlet's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Grocery Outlet Target Price Projections

Grocery Outlet's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Grocery Outlet Holding and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Grocery depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Grocery Outlet Holding including analysis of its current option contracts.
Grocery Outlet's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-08-19 are carrying combined implied volatility of 83.3 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.42 over 22 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-08-19. The current put volume is at 488, with calls trading at the volume of 585. This yields a 0.83 put-to-call volume ratio. The Grocery Outlet option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Grocery Outlet Holding option contracts. It shows all of Grocery Outlet's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Grocery Outlet option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Grocery Outlet's lending market. For example, when Grocery Outlet's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Grocery Outlet, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Grocery Outlet stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Grocery Outlet's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Grocery Outlet's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Grocery Outlet's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Grocery Outlet Maximum Pain Price across 2022-08-19 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Grocery Outlet close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Grocery Outlet's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Grocery Outlet Holding common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Grocery stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Grocery Outlet's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please check Macroaxis Advice on Grocery Outlet to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Grocery Outlet Holding In The Money Call Balance

When Grocery Outlet's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Grocery Outlet Holding stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Grocery Outlet's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Grocery Outlet Holding are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Grocery Current Options Market Mood

Grocery Outlet's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Grocery Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Grocery Outlet's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Grocery Outlet's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Grocery Outlet's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Grocery Outlet Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Grocery Outlet is a key component of Grocery Outlet valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Grocery Outlet.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grocery Outlet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grocery Outlet in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
43.3345.4547.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.1540.2748.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.4046.5248.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.810.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grocery Outlet. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grocery Outlet's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grocery Outlet's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grocery Outlet Holding.

Additional Grocery Outlet Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Grocery Outlet is a key component of Grocery Outlet valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Grocery Outlet.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grocery Outlet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grocery Outlet in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
43.3345.4547.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.1540.2748.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.4046.5248.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.810.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grocery Outlet. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grocery Outlet's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grocery Outlet's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grocery Outlet Holding.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Investor Favorites
Invested over 20 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 20 shares
Please check Macroaxis Advice on Grocery Outlet to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Grocery Outlet Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grocery Outlet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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The data published in Grocery Outlet's official financial statements usually reflect Grocery Outlet's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Grocery Outlet Holding. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Grocery accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Grocery Outlet's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Defensive space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Grocery Outlet's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Grocery Outlet's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Grocery Outlet's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Grocery Outlet Holding. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Grocery Outlet's management to manipulate its earnings.