Commvault Systems Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

CVLT
 Stock
  

USD 63.60  0.31  0.49%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Commvault Systems is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 2 strong buy opinions. The current projected Commvault Systems target price consensus is 78.8 with 5 analyst opinions. The most common way Commvault Systems analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Commvault Systems executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Commvault Systems. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Commvault Systems to validate this buy or sell advice. Commvault Systems buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Commvault Systems target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 8.642. Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Commvault Systems to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 656.2 M in 2022. Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.0475 in 2022. Commvault Systems Property Plant and Equipment Net is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Commvault Systems reported Property Plant and Equipment Net of 121.43 Million in 2021. Tax Liabilities is likely to gain to about 1.1 M in 2022, whereas Assets Non Current are likely to drop slightly above 286.3 M in 2022.

Commvault Systems Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Commvault target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Commvault target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions5
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Commvault analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Commvault stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Commvault Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Commvault Systems Target Price Projection

Commvault Systems' current and average target prices are 63.60 and 78.80, respectively. The current price of Commvault Systems is the price at which Commvault Systems is currently trading. On the other hand, Commvault Systems' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Commvault Systems Market Quote on 29th of June 2022

Low Price62.77Odds
High Price63.83Odds

63.6

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Commvault Systems Target Price

Low Estimate64.0Odds
High Estimate85.0Odds
Number of Analysts5
Standard Deviation8.642

78.8

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Commvault Systems and the information provided on this page.

Commvault Systems Analyst Ratings

Commvault Systems' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Commvault Systems stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Commvault Systems' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Commvault Systems' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Commvault Systems Target Price Projections

Commvault Systems's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Commvault Systems and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Commvault depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Commvault Systems including analysis of its current option contracts.
Commvault Systems' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-07-15 are carrying combined implied volatility of 26.92 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.68 over 50 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-07-15. The current put volume is at 130, with calls trading at the volume of 44. This yields a 2.95 put-to-call volume ratio. The Commvault Systems option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Commvault Systems option contracts. It shows all of Commvault Systems' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-07-15 Option Contracts

Commvault Systems option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Commvault Systems' lending market. For example, when Commvault Systems' puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Commvault Systems, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Commvault Systems stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Commvault Systems' distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Commvault Systems' open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Commvault Systems' option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Commvault Systems Maximum Pain Price across 2022-07-15 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Commvault Systems close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Commvault Systems' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Commvault Systems common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Commvault stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Commvault Systems' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Commvault Systems to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Commvault Systems In The Money Call Balance

When Commvault Systems' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Commvault Systems stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Commvault Systems' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Commvault Systems are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Commvault Current Options Market Mood

Commvault Systems' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Commvault Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Commvault Systems' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Commvault Systems' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Commvault Systems' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Commvault Systems Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Commvault Systems is a key component of Commvault Systems valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Commvault Systems.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commvault Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Commvault Systems in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.0963.5666.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.2470.8073.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
61.6564.1366.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.730.790.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commvault Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commvault Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commvault Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Commvault Systems.

Additional Commvault Systems Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Commvault Systems is a key component of Commvault Systems valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Commvault Systems.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commvault Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Commvault Systems in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.0963.5666.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.2470.8073.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
61.6564.1366.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.730.790.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commvault Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commvault Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commvault Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Commvault Systems.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 20 shares
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Commvault Systems to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Commvault Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Commvault Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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The data published in Commvault Systems' official financial statements usually reflect Commvault Systems' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Commvault Systems. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Commvault accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Commvault Systems' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Technology space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Commvault Systems' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Commvault Systems' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Commvault Systems' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Commvault Systems. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Commvault Systems' management to manipulate its earnings.