Chipotle Mexican Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

CMG
 Stock
  

USD 1,558  30.96  1.95%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Chipotle Mexican is Buy with 6 hold recommendations. The current projected Chipotle Mexican target price consensus is 1951.43 with 23 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Chipotle Mexican Grill analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Chipotle Mexican vendors, executives, and/or customers. Chipotle Mexican recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Chipotle Mexican Grill target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 215.16. Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

Chipotle Mexican Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Chipotle target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Chipotle target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions23
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Chipotle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Chipotle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Chipotle Mexican Grill, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Chipotle Mexican Target Price Projection

Chipotle Mexican's current and average target prices are 1,558 and 1,951, respectively. The current price of Chipotle Mexican is the price at which Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently trading. On the other hand, Chipotle Mexican's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Chipotle Mexican Market Quote on 25th of September 2022

Low Price1532.18Odds
High Price1572.49Odds

1557.52

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Chipotle Mexican Target Price

Low Estimate1725.0Odds
High Estimate2600.0Odds
Number of Analysts23
Standard Deviation215.16

1951.434

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Chipotle Mexican Grill and the information provided on this page.

Chipotle Mexican Analyst Ratings

Chipotle Mexican's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Chipotle Mexican stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Chipotle Mexican's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Chipotle Mexican's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Chipotle Mexican Target Price Projections

Chipotle Mexican's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Chipotle Mexican Grill and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Chipotle depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Chipotle Mexican Grill including analysis of its current option contracts.
Chipotle Mexican's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-09-30 are carrying combined implied volatility of 39.58 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 1.84 over 276 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-09-30. The current put volume is at 1624, with calls trading at the volume of 1199. This yields a 1.35 put-to-call volume ratio. The Chipotle Mexican option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Chipotle Mexican Grill option contracts. It shows all of Chipotle Mexican's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

Chipotle Mexican option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Chipotle Mexican's lending market. For example, when Chipotle Mexican's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Chipotle Mexican, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Chipotle Mexican stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Chipotle Mexican's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Chipotle Mexican's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Chipotle Mexican's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Chipotle Mexican Maximum Pain Price across 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Chipotle Mexican close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Chipotle Mexican's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Chipotle stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Chipotle Mexican's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Chipotle Mexican Grill In The Money Call Balance

When Chipotle Mexican's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Chipotle Mexican Grill stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Chipotle Mexican's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Chipotle Mexican Grill are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Chipotle Current Options Market Mood

Chipotle Mexican's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Chipotle Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Chipotle Mexican's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Chipotle Mexican's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Chipotle Mexican's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Chipotle Mexican Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Chipotle Mexican is a key component of Chipotle Mexican valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Chipotle Mexican.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chipotle Mexican's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Chipotle Mexican in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,4021,5651,567
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1,4021,8801,883
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,4741,4761,479
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5111,6461,781
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chipotle Mexican. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chipotle Mexican's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chipotle Mexican's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill.

Additional Chipotle Mexican Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Chipotle Mexican is a key component of Chipotle Mexican valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Chipotle Mexican.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chipotle Mexican's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Chipotle Mexican in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,4021,5651,567
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1,4021,8801,883
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,4741,4761,479
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5111,6461,781
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chipotle Mexican. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chipotle Mexican's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chipotle Mexican's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Healthcare
Invested over 70 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 200 shares
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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The data published in Chipotle Mexican's official financial statements usually reflect Chipotle Mexican's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Chipotle Mexican Grill. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Chipotle accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Chipotle Mexican's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Chipotle Mexican's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Chipotle Mexican's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Chipotle Mexican's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Chipotle Mexican Grill. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Chipotle Mexican's management to manipulate its earnings.