Orange Stock Today

OBT
 Stock
  

USD 35.16  2.07  5.56%   

Market Performance
0 of 100
Odds Of Distress
Less than 13
Orange County is selling for under 35.16 as of the 27th of June 2022; that is -5.56% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 35.11. Orange County has less than a 13 % chance of experiencing some financial distress in the next two years of operation, but has generated negative returns over the last 90 days. Equity ratings for Orange County Bancor are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 28th of April 2022 and ending today, the 27th of June 2022. Click here to learn more.
Fiscal Year End
December
IPO Date
4th of October 2007
Category
Financial Services
ISIN
US68417L1070
Orange County Bancorp, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services, and trust and wealth management services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals. The company has 5.64 M outstanding shares of which 30.51 K shares are now shorted by investors with about 7.95 days to cover. More on Orange County Bancor

Moving together with Orange County

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Follow Valuation Odds of Bankruptcy
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Orange County Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. If you consider yourself one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand your entering position. Orange County's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Orange County or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
Orange County Bancor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Keane Kevin J of tradable shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3
ChairmanFrancesco Scolaro
Macroaxis Advice
Unlike general analyst consensus, Macroaxis buy hold or sell recommendation is provided in the context of your current investment horizon and risk tolerance. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orange County's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators. Your current horizon is 90 days - details
Strong SellOvervalued
Orange County Bancor (OBT) is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in USA and employs 87 people. The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with total capitalization of 198.21 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Orange County's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Orange County's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. Orange County Bancor runs under Financial Services sector within Banks—Regional industry. The entity has 5.64 M outstanding shares of which 30.51 K shares are now shorted by investors with about 7.95 days to cover. Orange County Bancor has about 356.33 M in cash with 17.32 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 63.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check Orange County Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership
The market capitalization of Orange County Bancor is $198.21 Million. 30% of Orange County Bancor outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulation than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or about to change. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Ownership Allocation (%)

Check Orange Ownership Details

Orange Stock Price Odds Analysis

What are Orange County's target price odds to finish over the current price? Attributed to a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orange County jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0%. The Orange County Bancor probability density function shows the probability of Orange County stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orange County Bancor has a beta of -0.1112. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Orange County are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Orange County Bancor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Orange County Bancor is significantly underperforming DOW.
  Odds Below 35.16HorizonTargetOdds Above 35.16
1.39%90 days
 35.16 
98.58%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orange County to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Orange County Bancor probability density function shows the probability of Orange Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Orange Stock Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Orange County that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Orange County's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Orange County's value.
InstituionSecurity TypeTotal SharesValue
Hudson Valley Investment Advisors IncCommon Shares631.5 K25.3 M
Banc Funds Co LlcCommon Shares478.2 K19.1 M
View Orange County Diagnostics

Orange County Bancor Risk Profiles

Investors will always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment while minimizing volatility. Orange County market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Orange County long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Orange County. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Although Orange County's alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Orange County's performance over the market, the standard measures of volatility play an important role as well.

Orange Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for Orange County stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in Orange County stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for Orange County is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards Orange County Bancor at a given time.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Orange County without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Orange County Corporate Directors

Orange County corporate directors refer to members of an Orange County board of directors. The board of directors generally takes responsibility for the Orange County's affairs and long-term direction of the entity. A corporate director does not make decisions for the corporation on his own. As a member of the board of directors, she or he must function as a part of a group that makes decisions on behalf of the business only by the board of directors' meetings. To pass a resolution, a majority of Orange County's board members must vote for the resolution. The Orange County board of directors' duties also include the election, removal, and supervision of officers, including the adoption, amendment, and repeal of bylaws.
Timothy Walker - Non-Executive DirectorProfile
Warren Deats - COO, DirectorProfile
Miles Pelham - Non-Executive DirectorProfile
Jean Lac - Non-Executive DirectorProfile

Investing Orange County Bancor

You need to understand the risk of investing before taking a position in Orange County. The danger of trading Orange County Bancor is mainly related to its market volatility and company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Orange County is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Orange County. The Shape ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Orange County Bancor is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Orange County Bancor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orange County's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Orange County Bancor price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Orange County's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orange County. If investors know Orange will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orange County listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.16
Market Capitalization
198.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0103
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Orange County Bancor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orange that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orange County's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orange County's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orange County's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orange County's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orange County's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Orange County value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orange County's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.