National Stock Today

NCMI
 Stock
  

USD 0.89  0.02  2.20%   

Market Performance
0 of 100
Odds Of Distress
Less than 48
National Cinemedia is trading at 0.89 as of the 25th of September 2022. This is a -2.2 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 0.91. National Cinemedia has 48 percent odds of going through some form of financial distress in the next two years and has generated negative returns to investors over the last 90 days. Equity ratings for National Cinemedia are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 28th of January 2022 and ending today, the 25th of September 2022. Click here to learn more.
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado. National Cinemedia operates under Advertising Agencies classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. The company has 80.55 M outstanding shares of which 3.26 M shares are now shorted by private and institutional investors with about 2.61 trading days to cover. More on National Cinemedia

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+0.62WFCWells Fargo Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
Follow Valuation Odds of Bankruptcy
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National Cinemedia Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. National Cinemedia's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding National Cinemedia or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
National Cinemedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National Cinemedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
National Cinemedia has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
National Cinemedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 145.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.7 M.
National Cinemedia currently holds about 114.1 M in cash with (93.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
On 6th of September 2022 National Cinemedia paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.setenews.com: How does National CineMedia Inc. change from a tortoise to a hare - SETE News
CEO, DirectorAndrew England
Thematic Ideas
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Average Analyst Recommendation
Analysts covering National Cinemedia report their recommendations after researching National Cinemedia's financial statements, talking to executives and customers, or listening in on National Cinemedia's conference calls. The current trade recommendation is based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysts covering National Cinemedia. The National consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average forecast from all of the analysts covering National Cinemedia.
Macroaxis Advice
Unlike general analyst consensus, Macroaxis buy hold or sell recommendation is provided in the context of your current investment horizon and risk tolerance. The advice algorithm takes into account all of National Cinemedia's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators. Your current horizon is 90 days - details
Strong SellUndervalued
National Cinemedia (NCMI) is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in USA and employs 346 people. The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 72.89 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate National Cinemedia's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by National Cinemedia's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. National Cinemedia conducts business under Communication Services sector and is part of Advertising Agencies industry. The entity has 80.55 M outstanding shares of which 3.26 M shares are now shorted by private and institutional investors with about 2.61 trading days to cover. National Cinemedia currently holds about 114.1 M in cash with (93.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check National Cinemedia Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership
National Cinemedia holds a total of 80.55 Million outstanding shares. 30% of National Cinemedia outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulation than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or about to change. Remember, it does not matter who owns the company or if the company is currently losing money. If the true value of the company is more than the market pays for it currently, you can still have a good investment opportunity.

Ownership Allocation (%)

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National Stock Price Odds Analysis

In reference to a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Cinemedia jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.07%. The National Cinemedia probability density function shows the probability of National Cinemedia stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has a beta coefficient of 2.4132. This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, National Cinemedia will likely underperform. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.051, implying that it can generate a 0.051 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
  Odds Below 0.89HorizonTargetOdds Above 0.89
11.89%90 days
 0.89 
88.07%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Cinemedia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.07 (This National Cinemedia probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

National Stock Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in National Cinemedia that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of National Cinemedia's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing National Cinemedia's value.
InstituionSecurity TypeTotal SharesValue
Standard General LpCommon Shares17.4 M16 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares2.9 M2.6 M
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National Cinemedia Risk Profiles

Investors will always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment while minimizing volatility. National Cinemedia market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding National Cinemedia long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in National Cinemedia. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Although National Cinemedia's alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate National Cinemedia's performance over the market, the standard measures of volatility play an important role as well.

National Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for National Cinemedia stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in National Cinemedia stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for National Cinemedia is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards National Cinemedia at a given time.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in National Cinemedia without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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National Cinemedia Corporate Directors

National Cinemedia corporate directors refer to members of a National Cinemedia board of directors. The board of directors generally takes responsibility for the National Cinemedia's affairs and long-term direction of the entity. A corporate director does not make decisions for the corporation on his own. As a member of the board of directors, she or he must function as a part of a group that makes decisions on behalf of the business only by the board of directors' meetings. To pass a resolution, a majority of National Cinemedia's board members must vote for the resolution. The National Cinemedia board of directors' duties also include the election, removal, and supervision of officers, including the adoption, amendment, and repeal of bylaws.
Lawrence Goodman - Independent DirectorProfile
Lee Mitchell - DirectorProfile
Mark Segall - DirectorProfile
David Haas - Independent DirectorProfile

Invested in National Cinemedia?

The danger of trading National Cinemedia is mainly related to its market volatility and company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of National Cinemedia is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than National Cinemedia. The Shape ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile National Cinemedia is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running National Cinemedia price analysis, check to measure National Cinemedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Cinemedia is operating at the current time. Most of National Cinemedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Cinemedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Cinemedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Cinemedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Cinemedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Cinemedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Cinemedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Cinemedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Cinemedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Cinemedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Cinemedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Cinemedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Cinemedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Cinemedia value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Cinemedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.