Blue Bird Stock Today

BLBD
 Stock
  

USD 12.75  0.34  2.74%   

Market Performance
1 of 100
Odds Of Distress
Less than 21
Blue Bird is trading at 12.75 as of the 15th of August 2022, a 2.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.13. Blue Bird has about a 21 % chance of experiencing some form of financial distress in the next two years of operation and did not have a very good performance during the last 90 trading days. Equity ratings for Blue Bird Corp are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 16th of July 2022 and ending today, the 15th of August 2022. Please note, there could be an existing legal relationship between Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) and BLUE BIRD CORP (HCACU). Click here to learn more.
CUSIP
095306106
Fiscal Year End
September
Business Domain
Capital Goods
IPO Date
20th of March 2014
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Classification
Industrials
ISIN
US0953061068
Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia. Blue Bird operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. The company has 31.97 M outstanding shares of which 764.85 K shares are currently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 8.91 trading days to cover. More on Blue Bird Corp

Moving against Blue Bird

0.84LILi Auto Earnings Call  TodayPairCorr

Blue Bird Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. If you consider yourself one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand your entering position. Blue Bird's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Blue Bird or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
Blue Bird Corp has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 725.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.14 M.
Blue Bird Corp currently holds about 14.87 M in cash with (54.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47.
Blue Bird Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: The President of bluebird bio, Inc. , Andrew Obenshain, Just Sold 32 percent Of Their Holding - Nasdaq
Related EntityHCACU (BLUE BIRD CORP)
CEO and President and DirectorPhilip Horlock
Thematic IdeaAutomobiles and Trucks (view all)
Fama & French Classification
Average Analyst Recommendation
Analysts covering Blue Bird report their recommendations after researching Blue Bird's financial statements, talking to executives and customers, or listening in on Blue Bird's conference calls. The current trade recommendation is based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. The Blue Bird consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average forecast from all of the analysts covering Blue Bird.
Piotroski F Score
Piotroski F-Score is a popular financial indicator that puts together nine criteria to evaluate the financial strength of Blue Bird Corp based on its profitability, leverage, liquidity, source of funds, and operating efficiency. It is an academic score (developed by Joseph Piotroski in 2002) to determine the current strength of Blue Bird Corp financial position. Scores of 8 and 9 are usually classified as strong value stocks, whereas scores of 2 or below are considered weak value stocks.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares26.1 M23.3 M
Moderately Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares Diluted27.6 M24.9 M
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Net Cash Flow from Operations51.4 M47.6 M
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Stable
Total Assets335.1 M295.8 M
Moderately Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities348.4 M354.3 M
Fairly Down
Increasing
Stable
Current Assets146.6 M160.4 M
Significantly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Liabilities131.8 M138.8 M
Notably Down
Decreasing
Very volatile
Total Debt183.8 M151.2 M
Fairly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets0.05050.06
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Gross Margin0.120.129
Significantly Down
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover2.943.222
Significantly Down
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Macroaxis Advice
Unlike general analyst consensus, Macroaxis buy hold or sell recommendation is provided in the context of your current investment horizon and risk tolerance. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Blue Bird's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators. Your current horizon is 90 days - details
Strong SellOvervalued
Financial Strength
Blue Bird's financial strength is of vital concern to both outside investors and internal stakeholders. Efficiency and cost control are keys to Blue Bird's success, along with its ability to generate sufficient cash flow to pay bills, repay debt, and make a consistent year-to-year profit.
Financial leverage usually refers to the use of borrowed funds to amplify returns from an investment. In general, analyzing the relationship between debt to total assets helps investors to understand Blue Bird's financial leverage. It provides some insight into what part of Blue Bird's total assets is financed by creditors.
Share Download
Share Download
By using current balance sheet information, investors can analyze the liability, assets, and equity on Blue Bird's books and decide whether to invest or hold. Statistics such as return on equity (ROE), debt to equity (D/E) help investors determine how Blue Bird deploys its capital and how much of that capital is borrowed.
Liquidity
Blue Bird cash flow analysis is essential to understand how it generates and spends money over a specific period. It can also help you figure out where your money is going and how much cash you have available at a given moment. The company currently holds 162.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.89, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Blue Bird Corp has a current ratio of 1.13, suggesting that it is in a questionable position to pay out its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Blue Bird until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blue Bird's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blue Bird Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blue Bird to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blue Bird's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Operating Cash Flow

51.4 Million
Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in USA. It is located in 3920 Arkwright Road, 2nd Floor, Macon, GA 31210, United States and employs 1,702 people. Blue Bird is listed under Automobiles and Trucks category by Fama And French industry classification. The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 396.72 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Blue Bird's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Blue Bird's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. Blue Bird Corp conducts business under Consumer Cyclical sector and is part of Auto Manufacturers industry. The entity has 31.97 M outstanding shares of which 764.85 K shares are currently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 8.91 trading days to cover. Blue Bird Corp currently holds about 14.87 M in cash with (54.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47.
Check Blue Bird Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership
Blue Bird Corp retains a total of 31.97 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Blue Bird Corp outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Blue Bird Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Blue Bird. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Blue Bird Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Remember, it does not matter who owns the company or if the company is currently losing money. If the true value of the company is more than the market pays for it currently, you can still have a good investment opportunity.

Ownership Allocation (%)

Check Blue Bird Ownership Details

Blue Bird Stock Price Odds Analysis

What are Blue Bird's target price odds to finish over the current price? Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Bird jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.21%. The Blue Bird Corp probability density function shows the probability of Blue Bird stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has a beta coefficient of 1.5605 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blue Bird will likely underperform. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Blue Bird Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
  Odds Below 12.75HorizonTargetOdds Above 12.75
89.73%90 days
 12.75 
10.21%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Bird to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.21 (This Blue Bird Corp probability density function shows the probability of Blue Bird Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Blue Bird Historical Income Statement

Blue Bird Corp Income Statement is one of the three primary financial statements used for reporting Blue Bird's overall financial performance over a current year or for a given accounting period. An Income Statement sometimes referred to as the statement of Blue Bird Corp revenue and expense. Blue Bird Income Statement primarily focuses on the company's revenues and expenses during a particular period.
The current year Preferred Dividends Income Statement Impact is expected to grow to about 12.8 M, whereas Net Loss Income from Discontinued Operations is forecasted to decline to (38.8 K). View More Fundamentals

Blue Bird Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for Blue Bird stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in Blue Bird stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for Blue Bird is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards Blue Bird Corp at a given time.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Blue Bird without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Blue Bird Corporate Directors

Blue Bird corporate directors refer to members of a Blue Bird board of directors. The board of directors generally takes responsibility for the Blue Bird's affairs and long-term direction of the entity. A corporate director does not make decisions for the corporation on his own. As a member of the board of directors, she or he must function as a part of a group that makes decisions on behalf of the business only by the board of directors' meetings. To pass a resolution, a majority of Blue Bird's board members must vote for the resolution. The Blue Bird board of directors' duties also include the election, removal, and supervision of officers, including the adoption, amendment, and repeal of bylaws.

Invested in Blue Bird Corp?

You need to understand the risk of investing before taking a position in Blue Bird. The danger of trading Blue Bird Corp is mainly related to its market volatility and company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Blue Bird is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Blue Bird. The Shape ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Blue Bird Corp is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Blue Bird Corp price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue Bird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.35
Market Capitalization
408.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.048
Return On Assets
-0.0242
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue Bird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Blue Bird value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.