Arrival Stock Today

ARVL
 Stock
  

USD 0.33  0.01  3.13%   

Market Performance
0 of 100
Odds Of Distress
Less than 8
Arrival Vault is selling for 0.33 as of the 4th of December 2022. This is a 3.13 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.31. Arrival Vault has only a 8 % chance of going through financial distress over the next few years, but has generated negative returns over the last 90 days. Equity ratings for Arrival Vault USA are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 9th of December 2021 and ending today, the 4th of December 2022. Click here to learn more.
Fiscal Year End
December
Business Domain
Automobiles & Components
IPO Date
24th of March 2021
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Classification
Consumer Discretionary
ISIN
LU2314763264
Arrival engages in the research and development, and design of commercial electric vehicles , EVs components, robotic manufacturing processes for EVs, and associated software in the United Kingdom, the United States, Russia, and internationally. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Howald, Luxembourg. The company has 638.35 M outstanding shares of which 39.43 M shares are presently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 4.12 trading days to cover. More on Arrival Vault USA

Moving against Arrival Vault

-0.77GHCGraham Holdings Downward RallyPairCorr
-0.72JPMJPMorgan Chase Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
-0.65GPIGroup 1 Automotive Normal TradingPairCorr
Follow Valuation Odds of Bankruptcy
Check how we calculate scores

Arrival Vault Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. Arrival Vault's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Arrival Vault or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
Arrival Vault USA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arrival Vault USA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arrival Vault USA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Arrival Vault USA currently holds about 512.62 M in cash with (230.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Fama & French Classification
Average Analyst Recommendation
Analysts covering Arrival Vault report their recommendations after researching Arrival Vault's financial statements, talking to executives and customers, or listening in on Arrival Vault's conference calls. The current trade recommendation is based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysts covering Arrival Vault USA. The Arrival consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average forecast from all of the analysts covering Arrival Vault.
Strong Buy3 Opinions
Macroaxis Advice
Unlike general analyst consensus, Macroaxis buy hold or sell recommendation is provided in the context of your current investment horizon and risk tolerance. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arrival Vault's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators. Your current horizon is 90 days - details
Strong SellUndervalued
Arrival Vault USA (ARVL) is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in USA and employs 2,695 people. Arrival Vault is listed under Automobile Manufacturers category by Fama And French industry classification. The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 210.65 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Arrival Vault's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Arrival Vault's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. Arrival Vault USA conducts business under Automobiles sector and is part of Consumer Discretionary industry. The entity has 638.35 M outstanding shares of which 39.43 M shares are presently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 4.12 trading days to cover. Arrival Vault USA currently holds about 512.62 M in cash with (230.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check Arrival Vault Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership
Arrival Vault holds a total of six hundred thirty-eight million three hundred fourty-five thousand twenty-four outstanding shares. Arrival Vault USA shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company outstanding shares. 65.51 percent of Arrival Vault USA outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how much assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ownership Allocation (%)

Check Arrival Ownership Details

Arrival Stock Price Odds Analysis

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrival Vault jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95%. The Arrival Vault USA probability density function shows the probability of Arrival Vault stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has a beta coefficient of 1.9983. This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arrival Vault will likely underperform. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Arrival Vault USA is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
  Odds Below 0.33HorizonTargetOdds Above 0.33
5.65%90 days
 0.33 
94.33%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrival Vault to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Arrival Vault USA probability density function shows the probability of Arrival Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Arrival Stock Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Arrival Vault that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Arrival Vault's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Arrival Vault's value.
InstituionSecurity TypeTotal SharesValue
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares25 K20 K
Wolverine Trading LlcPut Options47.7 K38 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCall Options116.9 K92 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares33.8 K51 K
View Arrival Vault Diagnostics

Arrival Vault USA Risk Profiles

Investors will always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment while minimizing volatility. Arrival Vault market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Arrival Vault long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Arrival Vault. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Although Arrival Vault's alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Arrival Vault's performance over the market, the standard measures of volatility play an important role as well.

Arrival Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for Arrival Vault stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in Arrival Vault stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for Arrival Vault is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards Arrival Vault USA at a given time.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Arrival Vault without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Arrival Vault Corporate Management

Elected by the shareholders, the Arrival Vault's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Arrival Vault inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Arrival. The board's role is to monitor Arrival Vault's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Arrival Vault's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Arrival Vault's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
Denis Sverdlov - Founder CEOProfile
Daniel Chin - G CounselProfile
Avinash Rugoobur - Pres DirectorProfile
Mandeep Bajwa - Chief OfficerProfile
Adrian Nyman - VP BrandProfile
Mitesh Soni - VP RelationsProfile
Tim AMCT - VP FinProfile

Invested in Arrival Vault USA?

The danger of trading Arrival Vault USA is mainly related to its market volatility and company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Arrival Vault is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Arrival Vault. The Shape ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Arrival Vault USA is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Please continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Arrival Vault's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrival Vault. If investors know Arrival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arrival Vault listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
210.7 M
Return On Assets
(0.14) 
Return On Equity
(0.0472) 
The market value of Arrival Vault USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrival Vault's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrival Vault's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arrival Vault's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrival Vault's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrival Vault's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arrival Vault value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrival Vault's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.