Timken Stock Analysis

TKR
 Stock
  

USD 73.83  0.84  1.12%   

The latest bullish price patterns experienced by current Timken shareholders created some momentum for retail investors as it was traded today as low as 73.54 and as high as 74.51 per share. The company executives have been very successful in rebalancing the company assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in November. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.1. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in November 2022 as well as with Timken Company unsystematic, company-specific events.
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The Timken stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Timken and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Timken Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Timken price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Timken Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Timken was at this time reported as 28.78. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. Timken Company last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2022. The entity had 1397:1000 split on the 1st of July 2014. The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio. Timken operates under Tools Accessories classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 18000 people. To find out more about Timken Company contact Richard Kyle at 234 262 3000 or learn more at https://www.timken.com.

Timken Company Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Timken's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Timken Company or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of December 2022 Timken paid $ 0.31 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Timkens Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher - Simply Wall St

Timken Company Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Timken to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Timken previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report3rd of February 2022
Next Financial Report27th of April 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End3rd of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Timken Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Timken's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-07-18
2001-06-300.020.030.0150 
2003-10-23
2003-09-300.020.040.02100 
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.170.190.0211 
View All Earnings Estimates

Timken Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Timken is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timken Company backward and forwards among themselves. Timken's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Timken's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares93.4 K4.5 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares99.2 K4.6 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares95.3 K4.3 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares95.3 K3.8 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares6.8 K208 K
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares9.2 K602 K
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares9.2 K741 K
Note, although Timken's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Timken Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with total capitalization of 5.37 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Timken's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Timken's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Timken Profitablity

Timken's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Timken's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Timken is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Timken's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Timken's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Timken's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.08 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.14 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.0 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 13.72  15.40 
Return on Average Assets 7.23  7.55 
Return on Average Equity 16.60  17.15 
Return on Invested Capital 0.13  0.13 
Return on Sales 0.09  0.08 

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 0.074 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $0.074 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 0.1689 %, implying that it generated $0.1689 on every 100 dollars invested. Timken management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well timken company manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Timken Return on Investment is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Timken reported last year Return on Investment of 13.72. As of 12/04/2022, Return on Average Assets is likely to grow to 7.55, while Return on Sales is likely to drop 0.08. Timken Tangible Assets Book Value per Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Timken reported last year Tangible Assets Book Value per Share of 31.48. As of 12/04/2022, Average Assets is likely to grow to about 4 B, while Goodwill and Intangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 491.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 14.75  15.72 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 16.10  17.37 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 10.76  11.61 
Price to Book Value 2.18  1.96 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 31.48  37.76 
Enterprise Value3.3 B3.3 B
Tangible Asset Value2.4 B3.3 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of December, Timken has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1914, coefficient of variation of 783.02, and Semi Deviation of 1.87. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Timken Company, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Timken Company, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Timken Company standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Timken is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 73.83 per share. Given that Timken Company has jensen alpha of 0.1493, we advise you to double-check Timken Company's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Timken Company Price Movement Analysis

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Timken Company Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Timken insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Timken's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Timken insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Timken Outstanding Bonds

Timken issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Timken Company uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Timken bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Timken Company has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Timken Predictive Daily Indicators

Timken intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Timken stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Timken Forecast Models

Timken time-series forecasting models is one of many Timken's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Timken's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Timken Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Timken prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Timken shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Timken. By using and applying Timken Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Timken entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 12.42  10.67 
EBITDA Margin 15.64  14.05 
Gross Margin 26.68  25.57 
Profit Margin 8.93  7.58 

Current Timken Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Timken analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Timken analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
85.33Buy6Odds
Timken Company current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Timken analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Timken stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Timken Company, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Timken conference calls.
Timken Analyst Advice Details

Timken Stock Analysis Indicators

Timken Company stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Timken stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Timken shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Timken stock analysis, traders can identify Timken position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow321100000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSTKR.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76401366.00
Total Stockholder Equity2294900000.00
DescriptionThe Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide. It operates in two segments, Mobile Industries and Process Industri
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-173800000.00
Tax Provision95100000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.035
Property Plant And Equipment Net1174200000.00
Retained Earnings1616400000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments257100000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity1616400000.00
Cash257100000.00
CodeTKR
Accounts Payable430000000.00
Net Debt1311600000.00
50 Day M A68.1696
Total Current Liabilities896600000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses3610900000.00
Non Current Assets Total2957200000.00
Forward Price Earnings11.6414
Common Stock Total Equity40700000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other23900000.00
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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Is Timken's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timken. If investors know Timken will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Timken listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.035
Market Capitalization
5.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.096
Return On Assets
0.074
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Timken Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timken that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timken's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timken's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timken's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timken's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timken's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Timken value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timken's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.