Origin Stock Analysis


USD 11.42  0.11  0.97%   

The latest price surge of Origin Agritech created some momentum for shareholders as it was traded today as low as 11.01 and as high as 11.5 per share. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.72. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not-so-good earnings reports for some of the Origin Agritech partners.
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The Origin Agritech stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Origin Agritech and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Origin Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Origin Agritech price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Origin Stock Analysis Notes

About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.57. Origin Agritech next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of September 2010. The entity had a split on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the Peoples Republic of China. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Origin Agritech operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 54 people. To find out more about Origin Agritech contact William Niebur at 86 10 5890 7588 or learn more at https://www.originseed.com.cn.

Origin Agritech Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Origin Agritech's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Origin Agritech or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Origin Agritech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 140.71 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Origin Agritech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Origin Agritech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Origin Agritech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Origin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 81.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (86.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.81 M.
Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (25.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
Roughly 27.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.asiaone.com: Origin Agritech Receives a 35 Million Order from Muyuan Foods - AsiaOne

Origin Agritech Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Origin Agritech to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Origin Agritech previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report24th of February 2017
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2016

Origin Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Origin Agritech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Agritech backward and forwards among themselves. Origin Agritech's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Origin Agritech's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Steward Partners Investment Advisory LlcCommon Shares50.00.0
Blackrock IncCommon Shares166.2 K1.4 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Company TheCommon Shares84.6 K707 K
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares41 K342 K
Anson Funds Management LpCommon Shares25 K209 K
Xtx Topco LtdCommon Shares21.1 K177 K
Virtu Financial LlcCommon Shares13.7 K115 K
Concourse Financial Group Securities IncPut Options0.00.0
Concourse Financial Group Securities IncCall Options0.00.0
Note, although Origin Agritech's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Origin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 64.48 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Origin Agritech's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Origin Agritech's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Origin Profitablity

Origin Agritech's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Origin Agritech's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Origin Agritech is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Origin Agritech's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Origin Agritech's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Origin Agritech's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (106.28) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (75.87) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.76.

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (21.13) % which means that it has lost $21.13 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (371.99) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Agritech management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well origin agritech manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.

Technical Drivers

As of the 10th of August, Origin Agritech holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1412, coefficient of variation of 937.82, and Semi Deviation of 4.34. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Origin Agritech, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Origin Agritech maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 11.42 per share. Given that Origin Agritech has jensen alpha of 0.565, we recommend you to check out Origin Agritech's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Origin Agritech Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Origin Agritech for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Origin Agritech short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Origin Agritech Predictive Daily Indicators

Origin Agritech intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Agritech stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Origin Agritech Forecast Models

Origin Agritech time-series forecasting models is one of many Origin Agritech's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Agritech's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Origin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Origin Agritech stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Origin Agritech. By using and applying Origin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Origin entry and exit points for their positions.
Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the Peoples Republic of China. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Origin Agritech operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 54 people.

Be your own money manager

As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Origin Agritech to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
64.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Origin Agritech value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.