National Stock Analysis

NCMI
 Stock
  

USD 0.43  0.01  2.38%   

The big decline in price over the last few months for National CineMediamay encourage stockholders to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 0.43 on 417,940 in trading volume. The company executives failed to add value to investors and position the firm supply of money to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with National CineMedia or similar stocks can still protect your portfolios during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 7.65. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the National CineMedia partners.
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis.
  
The National CineMedia stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about National CineMedia and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. National Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the National CineMedia price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

National Stock Analysis Notes

About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.68. National CineMedia last dividend was issued on the 19th of August 2022. National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado. National Cinemedia operates under Advertising Agencies classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 346 people. To find out more about National CineMedia contact Thomas Lesinski at 303 792 3600 or learn more at https://www.ncm.com.

National CineMedia Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. National CineMedia's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding National CineMedia or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
National CineMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National CineMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
National CineMedia has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company currently holds 1.09 B in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National CineMedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National CineMedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National CineMedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 114.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (118.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.7 M.
National CineMedia currently holds about 73.4 M in cash with (95.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hot Stocks Movie theater chains rally YMM jumps on earnings PAGS falls - Seeking Alpha

National CineMedia Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by National CineMedia to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National CineMedia previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report14th of March 2022
Next Financial Report9th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End14th of March 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

National Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National CineMedia's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-05-02
2013-03-31-0.01-0.0183-0.008383 
2022-03-03
2021-12-31-0.04-0.05-0.0125 
2020-05-05
2020-03-31-0.04-0.05-0.0125 
View All Earnings Estimates

National CineMedia SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. National CineMedia prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that National CineMedia investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial National CineMedia specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
14th of April 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
5th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
View
3rd of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
14th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

National CineMedia Thematic Classifications

In addition to having National CineMedia stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Compulsion
Addiction driven consumer products and services
Advertising
Advertising and advertising agencies

National Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 34.15 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate National CineMedia's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by National CineMedia's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

National Profitablity

National CineMedia's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase National CineMedia's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, National CineMedia is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, National CineMedia's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of National CineMedia's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of National CineMedia's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.12) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.03) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(12.46) (12.78) 
Return on Average Assets(7.46) (7.66) 
Return on Invested Capital 0.14  0.13 
Return on Sales 1.94  2.09 

Management Efficiency

The current Return on Sales is estimated to increase to 2.09, while Return on Investment is projected to decrease to (12.78) . National CineMedia Assets Non Current are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Assets Non Current was reported at 789.25 Million. The current Tax Assets is estimated to increase to about 203.3 M, while Goodwill and Intangible Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 692.7 M. National CineMedia management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well national cinemedia manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share(6.98) (7.53) 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 8.05  8.26 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 5.35  8.09 
Price to Book Value(0.72) (0.78) 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 2.98  3.06 
Enterprise ValueB1.2 B
Tangible Asset Value232.6 M318.1 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of December, National CineMedia secures the risk adjusted performance of (0.25), and Mean Deviation of 5.46. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National CineMedia, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for National CineMedia, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify National CineMedia information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National CineMedia is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 0.43 per share. As National CineMedia is a penny stock we also strongly advise to check its total risk alpha numbers.

National CineMedia Price Movement Analysis

Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Mid-point Price over period is an average of National CineMedia highest and lowest prices attained during the given period.
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National CineMedia Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National CineMedia insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National CineMedia's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National CineMedia insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Kurt Hall over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Kurt Hall of 12521 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Ng Ronnie Y over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Ng Ronnie Y of 7407 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Ng Ronnie Y over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Ng Ronnie Y of 7407 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Standard General Lp over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Standard General Lp of 4516890 shares of National Cinemedia
Zoradi Mark over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Zoradi Mark of 53571 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Thomas Lesinski over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Thomas Lesinski of 80906 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Thomas Lesinski over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 2074 shares by Thomas Lesinski of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Thomas Lesinski over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Thomas Lesinski of 237341 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Scott Felenstein over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Scott Felenstein of 8 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Ng Ronnie Y over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Ng Ronnie Y of 121212 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Cinemark Holdings Inc over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Cinemark Holdings Inc of 529247 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3
Kurt Hall over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Kurt Hall of 2675 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3

National CineMedia Predictive Daily Indicators

National CineMedia intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National CineMedia stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

National CineMedia Forecast Models

National CineMedia time-series forecasting models is one of many National CineMedia's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National CineMedia's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About National Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National CineMedia prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National CineMedia. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(77.60) (79.64) 
EBITDA Margin 34.89  40.35 
Gross Margin 90.96  97.11 
Profit Margin(83.20) (85.39) 

Current National Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.38Buy4Odds
National CineMedia current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National CineMedia, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details

National Stock Analysis Indicators

National CineMedia stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National CineMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National CineMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National CineMedia stock analysis, traders can identify National CineMedia position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow180300000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSNCMI.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79867332.00
Total Stockholder Equity-526700000.00
DescriptionNational CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noov
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5400000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.151
Property Plant And Equipment Net21300000.00
Retained Earnings-332000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments101500000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-332000000.00
Cash101200000.00
CodeNCMI
Accounts Payable16300000.00
Net Debt996300000.00
50 Day M A0.5474
Total Current Liabilities69800000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses183200000.00
Non Current Assets Total659000000.00
Forward Price Earnings11.0497
Common Stock Total Equity800000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other29600000.00
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Is National CineMedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.15) 
Market Capitalization
34.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.72
Return On Assets
(0.0053) 
The market value of National CineMedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National CineMedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National CineMedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National CineMedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National CineMedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National CineMedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National CineMedia value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.