Forestar Stock Analysis

FOR
 Stock
  

USD 12.04  0.84  7.50%   

The latest fall in stock price could raise concerns from retail investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 12.04 on 106,000 in volume. The company management teams have failed to build on market volatilities in September. However, diversifying your overall positions with Forestar Group may protect your principal portfolio during upcoming market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.5. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in September 2022 as well as with Forestar unsystematic, company-specific events.
Please check Investing Opportunities.
  
The Forestar stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Forestar and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Forestar Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Forestar price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Forestar Stock Analysis Notes

About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Forestar Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to homebuilders. Forestar operates under Real EstateDevelopment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 312 people. To learn more about Forestar Group call Daniel Bartok at 817 769 1860 or check out https://www.forestar.com.

Forestar Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Forestar's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Forestar Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Forestar Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 714 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Forestar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Forestar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Forestar Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Forestar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Forestar exotic insider transaction detected

Forestar Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Forestar to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Forestar previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report27th of January 2022
Next Financial Report19th of April 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End3rd of November 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Forestar SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Forestar prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Forestar investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Forestar Group specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
19th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
21st of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
14th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
10th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
27th of January 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
24th of January 2022
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
View

Forestar Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Forestar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forestar Group backward and forwards among themselves. Forestar's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Forestar's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Long Pond Capital LpCommon Shares4.7 M64.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares2.7 M36.6 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.6 M21.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares1.1 M14.8 M
Carlson Capital L PCommon Shares608.5 K8.3 M
Ameriprise Financial IncCommon Shares551.7 K7.6 M
Heartland Advisors IncCommon Shares470.2 K6.4 M
Note, although Forestar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Forestar Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with total capitalization of 554.93 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Forestar's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Forestar's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Forestar Profitablity

Forestar's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Forestar's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Forestar is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Forestar's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Forestar's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Forestar's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 11.05 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is very large. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 14.21 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.14 of operating income.

Management Efficiency

The entity has Return on Asset of 6.45 % which means that on every $100 spent on asset, it made $6.45 of profit. This is considered to be average in the sector. In the same way, it shows return on shareholders equity (ROE) of 16.25 %, implying that it generated $16.25 on every 100 dollars invested. Forestar management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well forestar group manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of October, Forestar shows the mean deviation of 1.88, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,212). Forestar Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Forestar Group, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Forestar Group variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Forestar Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 12.04 per share. Given that Forestar has jensen alpha of (0.18), we urge you to verify Forestar Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Forestar Group Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. Forestar Group Triple Exponential Moving Average indicator shows smoothing effect of Forestar price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.
.

Forestar Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Forestar insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Forestar's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Forestar insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Forestar Predictive Daily Indicators

Forestar intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Forestar stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Forestar Forecast Models

Forestar time-series forecasting models is one of many Forestar's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Forestar's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Forestar Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Forestar prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Forestar shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Forestar. By using and applying Forestar Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Forestar entry and exit points for their positions.
Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to homebuilders. Forestar operates under Real EstateDevelopment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 312 people.

Current Forestar Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Forestar analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Forestar analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
30.75Buy2Odds
Forestar Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Forestar analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Forestar stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Forestar Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Forestar conference calls.
Forestar Analyst Advice Details

Forestar Stock Analysis Indicators

Forestar Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Forestar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Forestar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Forestar stock analysis, traders can identify Forestar position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio0.76
Fifty Two Week Low11.17
Revenue Growth-1.40%
Shares Short Prior Month346.86k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day133.39k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month111.29k
Earnings Growth148.90%
Shares Percent Shares Out0.74%
Earnings Quarterly Growth151.30%
Gross Margins19.96%
Short Percent Of Float2.02%
Forward Price Earnings4.57
Float Shares13.45M
Fifty Two Week High22.60
Enterprise Value To Ebitda5.62
Fifty Day Average12.80
Two Hundred Day Average16.21
Enterprise Value To Revenue0.81
Please check Investing Opportunities. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Forestar Group price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Go
Is Forestar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. If investors know Forestar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forestar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Forestar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forestar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forestar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forestar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forestar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forestar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Forestar value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forestar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.