Commerce Stock Analysis


USD 68.43  2.21  3.13%   

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Commerce Bancshares could raise concerns from stockholders as the firm is trading at a share price of 68.43 on 276,792 in volume. The company directors and management have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in November. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.71. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
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The Commerce Bancshares stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Commerce Bancshares and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Commerce Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Commerce Bancshares price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Commerce Stock Analysis Notes

About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Commerce Bancshares was currently reported as 19.66. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. Commerce Bancshares had 105:100 split on the 1st of December 2021. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Commerce Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4595 people. For more info on Commerce Bancshares please contact David Kemper at 816 234 2000 or go to

Commerce Bancshares Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Commerce Bancshares' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Commerce Bancshares or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Commerce Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Board Member of Commerce Bancshares Sold 156K In Stock - Commerce Bancshares - Benzinga

Commerce Bancshares Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Commerce Bancshares to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Commerce Bancshares previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report19th of January 2022
Next Financial Report21st of April 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End19th of January 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Commerce Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Commerce Bancshares' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
View All Earnings Estimates

Commerce Bancshares SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Commerce Bancshares prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Commerce Bancshares investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Commerce Bancshares specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
21st of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
17th of May 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
25th of April 2022
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
19th of April 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
14th of February 2022
Regulation FD Disclosure. Unclassified Corporate Event
10th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
9th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event

Commerce Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Commerce Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Commerce Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Commerce Bancshares' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Commerce Bancshares' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares43.6 K2.9 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares101.2 K6.6 M
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares13.3 K882 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares13.3 K876 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares14.3 KM
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares13.5 K925 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares10.7 K748 K
Note, although Commerce Bancshares' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Commerce Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 8.43 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Commerce Bancshares's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Commerce Bancshares's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Commerce Profitablity

Commerce Bancshares' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Commerce Bancshares' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Commerce Bancshares is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Commerce Bancshares' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Commerce Bancshares' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Commerce Bancshares' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.33 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.42 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.0.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 1.52  1.35 
Return on Average Equity 15.53  13.43 
Return on Invested Capital 0.02  0.0207 
Return on Sales 0.46  0.47 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0144 % which means that it generated profit of $0.0144 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of 0.1643 %, meaning that it created $0.1643 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Commerce Bancshares management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well commerce bancshares manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Commerce Bancshares Return on Invested Capital is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Return on Invested Capital was reported at 0.02. The current Return on Sales is estimated to increase to 0.47, while Return on Average Assets are projected to decrease to 1.35. Commerce Bancshares Asset Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Asset Turnover was reported at 0.041336
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 29.59  29.48 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 12.00  14.53 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 11.11  13.26 
Price to Book Value 2.32  2.38 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 314.49  300.13 
Enterprise ValueB7.9 B
Tangible Asset Value36.5 B34.2 B

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of December, Commerce Bancshares shows the Downside Deviation of 1.52, risk adjusted performance of 0.1256, and Mean Deviation of 1.24. Commerce Bancshares technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect nineteen technical drivers for Commerce Bancshares, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Commerce Bancshares is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 68.43 per share. Given that Commerce Bancshares has jensen alpha of 0.061, we suggest you to validate Commerce Bancshares's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Commerce Bancshares Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Commerce Bancshares for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Commerce Bancshares short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Commerce Bancshares Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Commerce Bancshares insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Commerce Bancshares' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Commerce Bancshares insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Kimberly Walker over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Kimberly Walker of 190 shares of Commerce Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
Noack Thomas J over two months ago via Macroaxis 
Commerce Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected
Chapman William Kyle over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Chapman William Kyle of 182 shares of Commerce Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
John Kemper over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by John Kemper of 13033 shares of Commerce Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
Brauer Blackford F over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Purchase by Brauer Blackford F of 5000 shares of Commerce Bancshares
Noack Thomas J over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Commerce Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected
Brauer Blackford F over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Purchase by Brauer Blackford F of 5000 shares of Commerce Bancshares
Chapman William Kyle over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Chapman William Kyle of tradable shares of Commerce Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
Brauer Blackford F over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Purchase by Brauer Blackford F of 5000 shares of Commerce Bancshares
Chapman William Kyle over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Commerce Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected
Fowler June Mcallister over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Fowler June Mcallister of 182 shares of Commerce Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
Heise Richard W over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Commerce Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected

Commerce Bancshares Predictive Daily Indicators

Commerce Bancshares intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Commerce Bancshares stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Commerce Bancshares Forecast Models

Commerce Bancshares time-series forecasting models is one of many Commerce Bancshares' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Commerce Bancshares' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Commerce Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Commerce Bancshares prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Commerce Bancshares. By using and applying Commerce Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Commerce entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin 0.49  0.51 
Gross Margin 0.90  0.89 
Profit Margin 36.89  30.30 

Current Commerce Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Commerce analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Commerce analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
Commerce Bancshares current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Commerce analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Commerce stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Commerce Bancshares, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Commerce conference calls.
Commerce Analyst Advice Details

Commerce Stock Analysis Indicators

Commerce Bancshares stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Commerce Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Commerce Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Commerce Bancshares stock analysis, traders can identify Commerce Bancshares position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow2208328000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSCBSH.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128352447.30
Total Stockholder Equity3437298000.00
DescriptionCommerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management pr
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2082758000.00
Tax Provision145711000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.025
Property Plant And Equipment Net388738000.00
Retained Earnings92493000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments18726783000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity92493000.00
Accounts Payable29813073000.00
Net Debt-4264196000.00
50 Day M A70.5686
Total Current Liabilities46235000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses73613000.00
Non Current Assets Total15197933000.00
Forward Price Earnings17.1821
Common Stock Total Equity610804000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other-15088249000.00
Continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Commerce Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Commerce Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Commerce Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce Bancshares. If investors know Commerce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commerce Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
8.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Commerce Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commerce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commerce Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commerce Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commerce Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commerce Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commerce Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Commerce Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commerce Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.