Aspen Stock Analysis

AZPN
 Stock
  

USD 213.43  5.09  2.44%   

The latest price rise of Aspen Technology could raise concerns from institutional investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 213.43 on 112,610 in volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.01. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Aspen Technology partners.
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The Aspen Technology stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Aspen Technology and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Aspen Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Aspen Technology price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Aspen Stock Analysis Notes

About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.2. Aspen Technology had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 3rd of March 1997. Aspen Technology, Inc. provides enterprise asset performance management, asset performance monitoring, and asset optimization solutions worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. Aspen Technology operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1790 people. For more info on Aspen Technology please contact Antonio Pietri at 781 221-6400 or go to www.aspentech.com.

Aspen Technology Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aspen Technology's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aspen Technology or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aspen Technology has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 320.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.63 M.
Aspen Technology has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.aspendailynews.com: How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday 8102022 Associated Press aspendailynews.com - Aspen Daily News

Aspen Technology Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aspen Technology to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aspen Technology previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report26th of January 2022
Next Financial Report27th of April 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End10th of August 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Aspen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aspen Technology's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-11-01
2011-09-30-0.08-0.09-0.0112 
2005-03-15
2004-12-31-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2004-04-29
2004-03-310.050.060.0120 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aspen Technology SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Aspen Technology prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Aspen Technology investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Aspen Technology specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
29th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
27th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Other Events. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
15th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
26th of May 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
4th of May 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
View

Aspen Technology Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aspen Technology stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Macroaxis Index
Macroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals

Aspen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 14.26 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aspen Technology's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aspen Technology's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aspen Profitablity

Aspen Technology's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aspen Technology's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aspen Technology is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aspen Technology's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aspen Technology's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aspen Technology's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (7.41) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (8.42) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.08.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 32.45  32.67 
Return on Invested Capital(1.15) (1.24) 
Return on Sales(0.08) (0.09) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of 14.77 % which means that it generated profit of $14.77 on every $100 spent on asset. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of 36.06 %, meaning that it created $36.06 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Aspen Technology management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well aspen technology manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is expected to rise to 32.67 this year, although the value of Return on Invested Capital will most likely fall to (1.24) . Aspen Technology Tax Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Tax Assets is estimated at 9.38 Million. Revenue to Assets is expected to rise to 0.63 this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 25.64  25.49 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 27.60  29.78 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 26.21  28.28 
Price to Book Value 10.51  11.34 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 3.40  3.38 
Enterprise Value10.8 B11.6 B
Tangible Asset Value269.9 M234.5 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 11th of August 2022, Aspen Technology shows the Downside Deviation of 2.31, mean deviation of 2.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1829. Aspen Technology technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Aspen Technology, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Aspen Technology coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Aspen Technology is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 213.43 per share. Given that Aspen Technology has jensen alpha of 0.3823, we suggest you to validate Aspen Technology's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aspen Technology Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was five with a total number of output elements of fifty-six. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Aspen Technology for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Aspen Technology short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.
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Aspen Technology Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aspen Technology insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aspen Technology's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aspen Technology insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Beauchamp Robert E over two weeks ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Beauchamp Robert E of 727 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over a month ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 425 shares by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 476 shares by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Hanspal Amarpreet over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Hanspal Amarpreet of 752 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 630 shares by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Gary Haroian over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Gary Haroian of 454 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Donald Casey over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Exercise or conversion by Donald Casey of 1531 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Hammond F G over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Hammond F G of 100 shares of Aspen Technology
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of 4504 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Payment of 477 shares by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Acquisition by Breithaupt Chantelle Yvette of 21901 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
Hague John over six months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Hague John of 550 shares of Aspen Technology

Aspen Technology Predictive Daily Indicators

Aspen Technology intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aspen Technology stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aspen Technology Forecast Models

Aspen Technology time-series forecasting models is one of many Aspen Technology's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspen Technology's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aspen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aspen Technology stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aspen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Aspen Technology. By using and applying Aspen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aspen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin 45.47  49.06 
EBITDA Margin 0.0306  0.0482 
Gross Margin 0.76  0.75 
Profit Margin(0.14) (0.14) 
Aspen Technology, Inc. provides enterprise asset performance management, asset performance monitoring, and asset optimization solutions worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. Aspen Technology operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1790 people.

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As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Aspen Technology to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Aspen Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aspen Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Aspen Technology price analysis, check to measure Aspen Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspen Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Aspen Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspen Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspen Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspen Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aspen Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Technology. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspen Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.23
Market Capitalization
13 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
2.09
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
0.36
The market value of Aspen Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspen Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspen Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aspen Technology value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspen Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.