Xerox Stock Future Price Prediction

XRX
 Stock
  

USD 18.51  0.48  2.53%   

Xerox Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Xerox Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Xerox Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Xerox Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Xerox Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xerox Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Xerox Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Xerox Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Xerox stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Xerox Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.45
Wall Street Target Price
14.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.026
Using Xerox Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xerox Corp from the perspective of Xerox Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xerox Corp using Xerox Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xerox using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xerox Corp's stock price.
Xerox Corp Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Xerox Corp reported Asset Turnover of 0.50 in 2021. Enterprise Value over EBIT is likely to rise to 47.15 in 2022, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is likely to drop 0.70 in 2022.

Xerox Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Xerox Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Xerox. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Xerox Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Xerox Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Xerox Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Xerox Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.08
Short Percent
0.0846
Short Ratio
4.6
Shares Short Prior Month
9.7 M
50 Day MA
16.35
Shares Short
9.4 M

Xerox Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Xerox Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Xerox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xerox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xerox Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xerox Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xerox Corp.

Xerox Corp Implied Volatility

    
  99.47  
Xerox Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xerox Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xerox Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xerox Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xerox Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Xerox Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xerox Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xerox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Xerox Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 18.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xerox contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xerox Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.22% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Xerox Corp trading at $18.51, that is roughly $1.15. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xerox Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xerox Corp options at the current volatility level of 99.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xerox Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Xerox Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.0616.7719.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.2919.0021.70
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0018.0020.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.451.501.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xerox Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xerox Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xerox Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Xerox Corp.

Xerox Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xerox Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xerox Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xerox Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xerox Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xerox Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xerox Corp's historical news coverage. Xerox Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.77 and 21.19, respectively. We have considered Xerox Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 18.51
18.48
After-hype Price
21.19
Upside
Xerox Corp is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xerox Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xerox Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Xerox Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xerox Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xerox Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.20  2.71  0.01    0.17  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.5118.480.05 
5,420  

Xerox Corp Hype Timeline

On the 19th of August Xerox Corp is traded for 18.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Xerox is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 18.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Xerox Corp is about 320.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 18.34. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.95 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (659 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.4 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Xerox Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Xerox Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xerox Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xerox Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Xerox Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xerox Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PAYXPaychex 0.09 9 per month 1.33  0.09  3.02 (2.84)  8.56 
PBIPitney Bowes 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.31 (6.06)  24.27 
PYPLPaypal Holdings(2.19) 6 per month 2.82  0.1  6.27 (5.65)  14.78 
SNXSynnex Corp 1.61 10 per month 2.40  0.026  3.22 (3.58)  10.70 
TRMBTrimble Navigation(0.80) 10 per month 2.17  0.0321  3.11 (3.79)  10.66 
VVisa Inc(0.1) 10 per month 1.67  0.0326  3.11 (3.20)  7.92 
VRSKVerisk Analytics(4.87) 10 per month 1.48  0.12  2.79 (2.11)  6.13 
STNEStoneco Ltd Cl(0.05) 1 per month 4.98  0.10  8.14 (10.34)  28.13 
PENNPenn Entertainment(1.31) 9 per month 4.00  0.07  5.90 (5.38)  18.04 

Xerox Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xerox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xerox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xerox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Xerox Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Xerox Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xerox Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xerox Corp based on analysis of Xerox Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xerox Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xerox Corp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.560.70.77
Interest Coverage4.642.12.42

Story Coverage note for Xerox Corp

The number of cover stories for Xerox Corp depends on current market conditions and Xerox Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xerox Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xerox Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Xerox Corp Short Properties

Xerox Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xerox Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xerox Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xerox Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xerox Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.27%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.00
Short Percent Of Float8.78%
Float Shares113.16M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.36M
Shares Short Prior Month7.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.17M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.20%
Check out Xerox Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Xerox Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xerox Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Xerox Stock analysis

When running Xerox Corp price analysis, check to measure Xerox Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xerox Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Xerox Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xerox Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xerox Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xerox Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xerox Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xerox Corp. If investors know Xerox will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xerox Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.026
Return On Assets
0.0086
Return On Equity
-0.13
The market value of Xerox Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xerox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xerox Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xerox Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xerox Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xerox Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xerox Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Xerox Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xerox Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.