Xunlei Stock Future Price Prediction

XNET
 Stock
  

USD 1.62  0.02  1.25%   

Xunlei Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Xunlei shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Xunlei's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Xunlei and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Xunlei's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xunlei Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Xunlei Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Xunlei based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Xunlei stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Xunlei over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.2
Wall Street Target Price
12.0
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.49
Using Xunlei hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xunlei Limited from the perspective of Xunlei response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xunlei using Xunlei's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xunlei using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xunlei's stock price.

Xunlei Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Xunlei's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Xunlei. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Xunlei stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Xunlei may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Xunlei and may potentially protect profits, hedge Xunlei with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.8
Short Percent
0.0272
Short Ratio
4.92
Shares Short Prior Month
560.4 K
50 Day MA
1.54
Shares Short
531.8 K
Beta
1.3

Xunlei Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Xunlei's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Xunlei. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xunlei can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xunlei Limited. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xunlei's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xunlei.

Xunlei Implied Volatility

    
  34.63  
Xunlei's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xunlei Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xunlei's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xunlei stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xunlei's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Xunlei. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xunlei to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xunlei because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Xunlei after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xunlei's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Xunlei in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.081.545.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xunlei. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xunlei's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xunlei's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Xunlei Limited.

Xunlei After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xunlei at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xunlei or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Xunlei, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xunlei Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xunlei's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xunlei's historical news coverage. Xunlei's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.72, respectively. We have considered Xunlei's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.62
1.66
After-hype Price
5.72
Upside
Xunlei is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xunlei Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xunlei Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Xunlei is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xunlei backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xunlei, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.51  4.06  0.04   0.23  3 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.621.662.47 
5,075  

Xunlei Hype Timeline

Xunlei Limited is at this time traded for 1.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Xunlei is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 1.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 2.47% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Xunlei is about 911.22% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.85. The company currently holds 38.54 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Check out Xunlei Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Xunlei Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xunlei's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xunlei's future price movements. Getting to know how Xunlei rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xunlei may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Xunlei Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xunlei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xunlei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xunlei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Xunlei Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Xunlei stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xunlei Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xunlei based on analysis of Xunlei hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xunlei's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xunlei's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Xunlei

The number of cover stories for Xunlei depends on current market conditions and Xunlei's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xunlei is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xunlei's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Xunlei Short Properties

Xunlei's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xunlei's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xunlei Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xunlei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xunlei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.83%
Float Shares36.33M
Shares Short Prior Month436.62k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day82.17k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month152.18k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Check out Xunlei Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Xunlei Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xunlei's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Xunlei Stock analysis

When running Xunlei Limited price analysis, check to measure Xunlei's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xunlei is operating at the current time. Most of Xunlei's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xunlei's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xunlei's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xunlei to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Is Xunlei's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xunlei. If investors know Xunlei will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xunlei listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.2
Market Capitalization
109.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.49
Return On Assets
-0.0035
Return On Equity
-7.0E-4
The market value of Xunlei Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xunlei that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xunlei's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xunlei's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xunlei's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xunlei's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xunlei's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Xunlei value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xunlei's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.