Western Stock Future Price Prediction

WU -  USA Stock  

USD 17.99  0.38  2.16%

Western Union stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Western Union shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Western Union's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Western Union and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Western Union's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Western Union, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Western Union based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Western stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Western Union over a specific investment horizon. Using Western Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Western Union from the perspective of Western Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Western Union using Western Union's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Western using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Western Union's stock price.

Western Union Implied Volatility

    
  39.39  
Western Union's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Western Union stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Western Union's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Western Union stock will not fluctuate a lot when Western Union's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Western Union. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Western Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Western because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Western Union after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 17.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Western Union in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.3219.6622.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.7618.1020.44
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0021.5527.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.062.082.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Western Union. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Western Union's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Western Union's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Western Union.

Western Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Western Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Western Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Western Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Western Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Western Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Western Union's historical news coverage. Western Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.02 and 19.70, respectively. We have considered Western Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.99
17.36
After-hype Price
19.70
Upside
Western Union is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Western Union is based on 3 months time horizon.

Western Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Western Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Western Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Western Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.05  2.35  0.01    0.03  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.9917.360.00 
1,022  

Western Union Hype Timeline

As of May 27, 2022 Western Union is listed for 17.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Western anticipated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Western Union is about 375.0%. The volatility of related hype on Western Union is about 375.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.96. About 104.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. Western Union next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 16th of March 2022. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Western Union Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Western Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Western Union's future price movements. Getting to know how Western Union rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Western Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NDAQNasdaq Inc(0.56) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.19 (3.25)  6.77 
NLYAnnaly Capital Management 0.03 5 per month 0.00  0.0034  2.28 (2.67)  8.17 
NOAHNoah Holdings(1.35) 6 per month 0.00 (0.12)  6.92 (7.79)  41.14 
NTRSNorthern Trust Corp 0.37 8 per month 0.00 (0.003)  3.68 (3.56)  10.94 
OCNOcwen Financial Corp 0.18 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.14 (5.93)  23.79 
PFGPrincipal Financial Group 0.70 9 per month 1.75  0.05  3.55 (3.54)  9.15 
PNCPNC Bank(3.37) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.48 (3.29)  9.66 
RCIIRent-A-Center(0.41) 8 per month 0.00 (0.049)  5.93 (4.94)  16.42 
RJFRaymond James Financial(1.23) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0423)  3.25 (5.10)  11.13 

Western Union Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Western price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Western using various technical indicators. When you analyze Western charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Western Union Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Western Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Western Union, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Western Union based on analysis of Western Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Western Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Western Union's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Western Union

The number of cover stories for Western Union depends on current market conditions and Western Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Western Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Western Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Western Union Short Properties

Western Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when Western Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Western Union often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Western Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out9.06%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.93
Short Percent Of Float12.43%
Float Shares383.64M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.48M
Shares Short Prior Month36.25M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.76M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.47%
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Western Union information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Western Union's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Western Stock analysis

When running Western Union price analysis, check to measure Western Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Western Union is operating at the current time. Most of Western Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Western Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Western Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Western Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Western Union's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Western Union. If investors know Western will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Western Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Western Union is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Western that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Western Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Western Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Western Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Western Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Western Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Western Union value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.