W P Stock Future Price Prediction

WPC
 Stock
  

USD 78.80  0.58  0.74%   

W P Carey stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of W P shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of W P's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of W P and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from W P's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with W P Carey, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out W P Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of W P based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The W P stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on W P over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.31) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.04
Wall Street Target Price
85.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Using W P hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of W P Carey from the perspective of W P response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards W P using W P's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards W P using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of W P's stock price.
W P Interest Coverage is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 3.07. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 0.90, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to 38.68.

W P Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in W P's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards W P. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of W P stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long W P may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about W P and may potentially protect profits, hedge W P with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
80.71
Short Percent
0.038
Short Ratio
6.66
Shares Short Prior Month
5.6 M
50 Day MA
75.21
Shares Short
6.8 M

W P Carey Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to W P's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in W P. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding W P can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around W P Carey. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of W P's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about W P.

W P Implied Volatility

    
  21.89  
W P's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of W P Carey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if W P's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that W P stock will not fluctuate a lot when W P's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in W P. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in W P to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying W P because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

W P after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current W P contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that W P Carey will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.37% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With W P trading at USD78.8, that is roughly USD1.08. If you think that the market is fully incorporating W P's daily price movement you should consider acquiring W P Carey options at the current volatility level of 21.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of W P's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of W P in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
70.9281.9483.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
78.0086.0091.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.854.854.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as W P. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against W P's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, W P's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in W P Carey.

W P After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of W P at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in W P or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of W P, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

W P Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting W P's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on W P's historical news coverage. W P's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.16 and 80.62, respectively. We have considered W P's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 78.80
78.89
After-hype Price
80.62
Upside
W P is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of W P Carey is based on 3 months time horizon.

W P Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as W P is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading W P backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with W P, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06  1.74  0.08   0.00  7 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
78.8078.890.11 
135.94  

W P Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December W P Carey is traded for 78.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. W P is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 78.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 135.94%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.11% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on W P is about 2485.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 78.8. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.33 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 409.99 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.23 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out W P Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

W P Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to W P's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict W P's future price movements. Getting to know how W P rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how W P may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AHTAshford Hospitality Trust 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.14)  5.33 (7.06)  20.98 
BRXBrixmor Property 0.05 4 per month 1.92  0.0238  4.05 (3.26)  9.50 
CIMChimera Investment 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.91 (8.92)  25.78 
EQCEquity Commonwealth 0.08 5 per month 1.06  0.0289  1.75 (1.54)  5.40 
GMREGlobal Medical REIT(0.1) 2 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.25 (3.96)  12.05 
GPMTGranite Point Mortgage 0.21 2 per month 0.00 (0.16)  6.01 (6.11)  21.85 
HIWHighwoods Properties(0.08) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0407)  3.39 (4.00)  10.92 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust 0.05 3 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.01 (3.50)  10.30 
DDDupont De Nemours 0.40 8 per month 1.53  0.11  3.91 (2.55)  10.00 

W P Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine W P price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for W P using various technical indicators. When you analyze W P charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About W P Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of W P stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as W P Carey, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of W P based on analysis of W P hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to W P's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to W P's related companies.
 2019 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.870.9
Interest Coverage2.153.07

Story Coverage note for W P

The number of cover stories for W P depends on current market conditions and W P's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that W P is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about W P's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

W P Short Properties

W P's future price predictability will typically decrease when W P's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of W P Carey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential W P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. W P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding174839428.00
Cash And Short Term Investments176876000.00
Check out W P Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running W P Carey price analysis, check to measure W P's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy W P is operating at the current time. Most of W P's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of W P's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move W P's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of W P to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is W P's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of W P. If investors know W P will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about W P listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.31) 
Market Capitalization
16.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.028
Return On Equity
6.04
The market value of W P Carey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of W P that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of W P's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is W P's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because W P's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect W P's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between W P's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine W P value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, W P's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.