Wells Stock Future Price Prediction

WFC -  USA Stock  

USD 44.12  1.77  3.86%

Wells Fargo stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wells Fargo shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wells Fargo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wells Fargo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wells Fargo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wells Fargo based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wells stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon. Using Wells Fargo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo from the perspective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wells Fargo using Wells Fargo's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wells using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wells Fargo's stock price.

Wells Fargo Implied Volatility

    
  31.27  
Wells Fargo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wells Fargo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wells Fargo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wells Fargo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wells Fargo's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wells Fargo. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wells Fargo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wells because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wells Fargo after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 45.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wells Fargo in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.3053.3755.92
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.0060.0870.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.553.804.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wells Fargo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wells Fargo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Wells Fargo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wells Fargo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wells Fargo's historical news coverage. Wells Fargo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.43 and 48.53, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 44.12
45.98
After-hype Price
48.53
Upside
Wells Fargo is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Wells Fargo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wells Fargo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wells Fargo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.19  2.55  0.09    0.14  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.1245.980.20 
542.55  

Wells Fargo Hype Timeline

On the 28th of May Wells Fargo is traded for 44.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Wells is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 45.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.2% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 338.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 43.98. The company reported the last year's revenue of 81.75 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 19.39 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 82.95 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wells Fargo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wells Fargo's future price movements. Getting to know how Wells Fargo rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wells Fargo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZIONZions Bancorp 0.17 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  4.44 (4.59)  14.62 
RFRegions Financial Corp 0.29 2 per month 0.00 (0.0171)  4.67 (3.48)  13.86 
FRCFIRST REPUBLIC BANK(3.16) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0259)  3.46 (3.46)  11.56 
USBUS Bancorp(1.29) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0314)  3.45 (3.44)  8.39 
NYCBNew York Community(0.35) 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.92 (3.13)  8.10 
IBMInternational Business Machines(2.74) 8 per month 1.34  0.13  2.36 (2.47)  11.05 
BACBank Of America(0.16) 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.41 (3.62)  10.49 
PFEPfizer Inc 0.23 11 per month 1.44  0.14  3.82 (2.44)  7.54 
HPQHP Inc 0.22 8 per month 2.93  0.07  5.63 (4.48)  21.74 

Wells Fargo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wells Fargo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wells Fargo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wells Fargo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wells Fargo based on analysis of Wells Fargo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wells Fargo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wells Fargo's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Wells Fargo

The number of cover stories for Wells Fargo depends on current market conditions and Wells Fargo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wells Fargo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wells Fargo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wells Fargo Short Properties

Wells Fargo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wells Fargo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wells Fargo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Short Percent Of Float0.90%
Float Shares3.78B
Shares Short Prior Month30.37M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day25.68M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month28.69M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.19%
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wells Fargo value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.