Wendys Stock Future Price Prediction

WEN
 Stock
  

USD 18.76  0.54  2.80%   

Wendys Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wendys shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wendys' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wendys and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wendys' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wendys Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wendys based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wendys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wendys over a specific investment horizon.Using Wendys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wendys Company from the perspective of Wendys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wendys using Wendys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wendys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wendys' stock price.

Wendys Implied Volatility

    
  33.19  
Wendys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wendys Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wendys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wendys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wendys' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wendys. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wendys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wendys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wendys after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 18.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wendys contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wendys Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.07% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Wendys trading at $18.76, that is roughly $0.39. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wendys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wendys Company options at the current volatility level of 33.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wendys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wendys in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.9823.0824.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.4018.0819.75
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
23.0026.6631.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4719.5320.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wendys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wendys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wendys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wendys Company.

Wendys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wendys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wendys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wendys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wendys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wendys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wendys' historical news coverage. Wendys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.19 and 20.55, respectively. We have considered Wendys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 18.76
18.87
After-hype Price
20.55
Upside
Wendys is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wendys Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wendys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Wendys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wendys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wendys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  1.71  0.01    0.08  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.7618.870.00 
777.27  

Wendys Hype Timeline

On the 29th of September Wendys Company is traded for 18.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Wendys forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Wendys is about 85.93%. The volatility of related hype on Wendys is about 85.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 18.68. About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.25. Wendys Company last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2022. The entity had 105:100 split on the 25th of March 1986. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wendys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wendys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wendys' future price movements. Getting to know how Wendys rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wendys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(1.99) 11 per month 2.65  0.05  3.91 (4.76)  17.42 

Wendys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wendys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wendys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wendys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wendys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wendys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wendys Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wendys based on analysis of Wendys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wendys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wendys's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Wendys

The number of cover stories for Wendys depends on current market conditions and Wendys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wendys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wendys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wendys Short Properties

Wendys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Wendys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wendys Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wendys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wendys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.04%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.29
Short Percent Of Float3.92%
Float Shares169.68M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.3M
Shares Short Prior Month6.93M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.33M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.52%
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Wendys Company information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wendys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Wendys Stock analysis

When running Wendys Company price analysis, check to measure Wendys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wendys is operating at the current time. Most of Wendys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wendys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wendys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wendys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wendys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wendys. If investors know Wendys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wendys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Wendys Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wendys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wendys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wendys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wendys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wendys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wendys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wendys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wendys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.