Walker Stock Future Price Prediction

WD
 Stock
  

USD 113.99  0.39  0.34%   

Walker Dunlop stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Walker Dunlop shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Walker Dunlop's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Walker Dunlop and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Walker Dunlop's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walker Dunlop, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Walker Dunlop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Walker Dunlop based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Walker stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Walker Dunlop over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.067
Wall Street Target Price
144.0
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Using Walker Dunlop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walker Dunlop from the perspective of Walker Dunlop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Walker Dunlop using Walker Dunlop's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Walker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Walker Dunlop's stock price.
Walker Dunlop Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 24.55. The current year Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to grow to 4.53, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to 27.75.

Walker Dunlop Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Walker Dunlop's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Walker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Walker Dunlop stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Walker Dunlop may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Walker Dunlop and may potentially protect profits, hedge Walker Dunlop with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
126.01
Short Percent
0.0322
Short Ratio
6.23
Shares Short Prior Month
973.7 K
50 Day MA
102.38
Shares Short
714.8 K
Beta
1.21

Walker Dunlop Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Walker Dunlop's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Walker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walker Dunlop. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Walker Dunlop's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Walker Dunlop.

Walker Dunlop Implied Volatility

    
  19.76  
Walker Dunlop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walker Dunlop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walker Dunlop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walker Dunlop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walker Dunlop's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Walker Dunlop. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Walker Dunlop to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Walker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Walker Dunlop after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 114.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Walker contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Walker Dunlop will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.24% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Walker Dunlop trading at $113.99, that is roughly $1.41. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Walker Dunlop's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Walker Dunlop options at the current volatility level of 19.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walker Dunlop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Walker Dunlop in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
103.04129.43131.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
113.07115.48117.89
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.00159.25190.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.948.038.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walker Dunlop. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walker Dunlop's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walker Dunlop's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Walker Dunlop.

Walker Dunlop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Walker Dunlop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Walker Dunlop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Walker Dunlop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Walker Dunlop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Walker Dunlop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Walker Dunlop's historical news coverage. Walker Dunlop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.44 and 117.26, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 113.99
112.44
Downside
114.85
After-hype Price
117.26
Upside
Walker Dunlop is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walker Dunlop is based on 3 months time horizon.

Walker Dunlop Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Walker Dunlop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walker Dunlop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Walker Dunlop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.14  2.41  0.36   0.01  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
113.99114.850.31 
94.88  

Walker Dunlop Hype Timeline

As of August 15, 2022 Walker Dunlop is listed for 113.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Walker is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 114.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 94.88%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.31% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Walker Dunlop is about 6025.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 114.0. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.35 B. Reported Net Income was 269.88 M with gross profit of 1.26 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Check out Walker Dunlop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Walker Dunlop Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Walker Dunlop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Walker Dunlop's future price movements. Getting to know how Walker Dunlop rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Walker Dunlop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HPQHP Inc 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  4.22 (4.31)  12.62 

Walker Dunlop Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Walker Dunlop Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Walker Dunlop stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Walker Dunlop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walker Dunlop based on analysis of Walker Dunlop hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Walker Dunlop's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Walker Dunlop's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.162.351.732.31
Interest Coverage17.0439.6345.1140.49

Story Coverage note for Walker Dunlop

The number of cover stories for Walker Dunlop depends on current market conditions and Walker Dunlop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Walker Dunlop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Walker Dunlop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Walker Dunlop Short Properties

Walker Dunlop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Walker Dunlop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Walker Dunlop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Walker Dunlop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walker Dunlop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.86
Short Percent Of Float3.95%
Float Shares30.68M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day117.18k
Shares Short Prior Month756.11k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month157.27k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.69%
Check out Walker Dunlop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Walker Dunlop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walker Dunlop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Walker Dunlop price analysis, check to measure Walker Dunlop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walker Dunlop is operating at the current time. Most of Walker Dunlop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walker Dunlop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walker Dunlop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walker Dunlop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walker Dunlop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walker Dunlop. If investors know Walker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walker Dunlop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.067
Market Capitalization
3.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
0.0652
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Walker Dunlop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walker Dunlop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walker Dunlop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walker Dunlop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walker Dunlop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walker Dunlop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Walker Dunlop value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walker Dunlop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.