Virco Stock Future Price Prediction

VIRC -  USA Stock  

USD 3.27  0.11  3.25%

Virco MFG Cp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Virco MFG shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Virco MFG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Virco MFG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Virco MFG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virco MFG Cp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Virco MFG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Virco Price Prediction 

It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Virco MFG based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Virco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Virco MFG over a specific investment horizon. Using Virco MFG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virco MFG Cp from the perspective of Virco MFG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Virco MFG. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Virco MFG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Virco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Virco MFG after-hype prediction price

  $ 3.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virco MFG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Virco MFG in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
1 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Virco MFG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Virco MFG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Virco MFG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Virco MFG Cp.

Virco MFG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Virco MFG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virco MFG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Virco MFG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Virco MFG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Virco MFG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virco MFG's historical news coverage. Virco MFG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.56 and 4.92, respectively. We have considered Virco MFG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3rd of December 2021
After-hype Price
Virco MFG is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virco MFG Cp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Virco MFG Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Virco MFG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virco MFG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virco MFG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19  1.68  0.01   0.33  4 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility 

Virco MFG Hype Timeline

Virco MFG Cp is at this time traded for 3.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.33. Virco is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 3.24. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.31% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Virco MFG is about 98.1% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 3.6. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Virco MFG Cp recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 26th of December 2018. The firm had 11:10 split on the 4th of September 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Also, please take a look at Virco MFG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Virco MFG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Virco MFG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virco MFG's future price movements. Getting to know how Virco MFG rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virco MFG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Virco MFG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Virco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Virco MFG Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Virco MFG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Virco MFG Cp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Virco MFG based on analysis of Virco MFG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Virco MFG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Virco MFG's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Virco MFG

The number of cover stories for Virco MFG depends on current market conditions and Virco MFG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virco MFG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virco MFG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Virco MFG Short Properties

Virco MFG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Virco MFG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Virco MFG Cp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Virco MFG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virco MFG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.15%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.01
Short Percent Of Float0.20%
Float Shares8.07M
Shares Short Prior Month17.19k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.62k
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.44%
Also, please take a look at Virco MFG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Virco MFG Cp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virco MFG's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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Is Virco MFG's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virco MFG. If investors know Virco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virco MFG listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Virco MFG Cp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virco MFG's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virco MFG's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virco MFG's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virco MFG's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virco MFG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Virco MFG value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virco MFG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.