Vipshop Stock Future Price Prediction

VIPS
 Stock
  

USD 10.15  0.01  0.1%   

Vipshop Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vipshop Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vipshop Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vipshop Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vipshop Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vipshop stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vipshop Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.17
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.29
Wall Street Target Price
10.97
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.31
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.11
Using Vipshop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings from the perspective of Vipshop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vipshop Holdings using Vipshop Holdings' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vipshop using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vipshop Holdings' stock price.

Vipshop Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  76.75  
Vipshop Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vipshop Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vipshop Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vipshop Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vipshop Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vipshop Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vipshop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vipshop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vipshop Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vipshop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vipshop Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.3712.7717.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.419.8114.20
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0016.0020.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.540.560.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vipshop Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vipshop Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vipshop Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vipshop Holdings.

Vipshop Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vipshop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vipshop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Vipshop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Vipshop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vipshop Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vipshop Holdings' historical news coverage. Vipshop Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.72 and 14.52, respectively. We have considered Vipshop Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.15
10.12
After-hype Price
14.52
Upside
Vipshop Holdings is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vipshop Holdings is based on 2 months time horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Vipshop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vipshop Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vipshop Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.70  4.72  0.04    1.95  7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.1510.120.20 
7,867  

Vipshop Holdings Hype Timeline

Vipshop Holdings is at this time traded for 10.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.95. Vipshop is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 10.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.2% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Vipshop Holdings is about 169.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.2. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 117.06 B. Net Income was 4.68 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.11 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Also, please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vipshop Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vipshop Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Vipshop Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vipshop Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RADRite Aid Corp 0.17 8 per month 6.10  0.11  8.02 (8.40)  28.37 
SFMSprouts Farmers Market 1.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.0333)  4.13 (5.71)  26.19 
SYYSysco Corp(4.20) 8 per month 0.00  0.0455  4.68 (3.14)  12.19 
TGTTarget Corp(1.76) 7 per month 0.00 (0.19)  4.26 (3.40)  27.28 
TSCOTractor Supply(14.23) 6 per month 0.00  0.0291  3.53 (3.59)  15.89 
ULTAUlta Beauty(5.79) 9 per month 0.00  0.0251  4.77 (3.91)  16.38 
VIPSVipshop Holdings 0.06 7 per month 4.13  0.25  7.30 (5.68)  20.90 
WMKWeis Markets 0.63 5 per month 0.00  0.0146  3.36 (2.92)  13.89 
WMTWalmart 0.34 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.43 (2.74)  12.76 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(4.22) 7 per month 0.00  0.0164  3.31 (2.98)  10.78 

Vipshop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vipshop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vipshop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vipshop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vipshop Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vipshop Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vipshop Holdings based on analysis of Vipshop Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vipshop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vipshop Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Vipshop Holdings

The number of cover stories for Vipshop Holdings depends on current market conditions and Vipshop Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vipshop Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vipshop Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Vipshop Holdings Short Properties

Vipshop Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vipshop Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vipshop Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vipshop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vipshop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.54%
Float Shares424.37M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.19M
Shares Short Prior Month18.55M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.62M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Also, please take a look at Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Vipshop Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vipshop Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Vipshop Stock analysis

When running Vipshop Holdings price analysis, check to measure Vipshop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vipshop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vipshop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vipshop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vipshop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vipshop Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vipshop Holdings. If investors know Vipshop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vipshop Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.26
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.11
Return On Assets
0.0582
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Vipshop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vipshop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vipshop Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vipshop Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vipshop Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vipshop Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vipshop Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vipshop Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vipshop Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.