VF Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

VFC
 Stock
  

USD 31.28  1.37  4.58%   

VF Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of VF Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of VF Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of VF Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from VF Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VF Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at VF Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of VF Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The VF Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on VF Corp over a specific investment horizon.Using VF Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VF Corp from the perspective of VF Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VF Corp using VF Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VF Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VF Corp's stock price.

VF Corp Implied Volatility

    
  68.18  
VF Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VF Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VF Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VF Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when VF Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in VF Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VF Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VF Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

VF Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 31.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VF Corp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VF Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.26% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With VF Corp trading at $31.28, that is roughly $1.33. If you think that the market is fully incorporating VF Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VF Corp options at the current volatility level of 68.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VF Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VF Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
28.0543.7546.44
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
72.0086.47100.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VF Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VF Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VF Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VF Corp.

VF Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of VF Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VF Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VF Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

VF Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting VF Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VF Corp's historical news coverage. VF Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.63 and 34.01, respectively. We have considered VF Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 31.28
31.32
After-hype Price
34.01
Upside
VF Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VF Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

VF Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as VF Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VF Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VF Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51  2.74  0.13   0.11  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.2831.320.48 
1,096  

VF Corp Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of October VF Corp is traded for 31.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. VF Corp is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 31.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.48% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on VF Corp is about 1253.59% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 31.39. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.91 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.01 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.46 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Also, please take a look at VF Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

VF Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to VF Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VF Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how VF Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VF Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

VF Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VF Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VF Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze VF Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About VF Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of VF Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VF Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VF Corp based on analysis of VF Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VF Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VF Corp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for VF Corp

The number of cover stories for VF Corp depends on current market conditions and VF Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VF Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VF Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

VF Corp Short Properties

VF Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when VF Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VF Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VF Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VF Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.71%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.93
Short Percent Of Float5.93%
Float Shares386.22M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.65M
Shares Short Prior Month15.61M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.45M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.45%
Also, please take a look at VF Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the VF Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VF Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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When running VF Corp price analysis, check to measure VF Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VF Corp is operating at the current time. Most of VF Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VF Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VF Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VF Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is VF Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VF Corp. If investors know VF Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VF Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of VF Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VF Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VF Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VF Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VF Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VF Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VF Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine VF Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VF Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.