United Stock Future Price Prediction

URI
 Stock
  

USD 270.15  6.87  2.48%   

United Rentals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Rentals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Rentals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Rentals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Rentals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Rentals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Rentals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Rentals over a specific investment horizon.Using United Rentals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Rentals from the perspective of United Rentals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Rentals using United Rentals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Rentals' stock price.

United Rentals Implied Volatility

    
  48.45  
United Rentals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Rentals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Rentals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Rentals stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Rentals' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Rentals. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Rentals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Rentals after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 270.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current United contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that United Rentals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.03% per day over the life of the 2022-09-30 option contract. With United Rentals trading at $270.15, that is roughly $8.18. If you think that the market is fully incorporating United Rentals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring United Rentals options at the current volatility level of 48.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Rentals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Rentals in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
243.14314.28316.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
248.79251.22253.66
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
265.00386.09500.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
270.41286.88303.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Rentals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Rentals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Rentals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Rentals.

United Rentals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Rentals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Rentals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Rentals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Rentals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Rentals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Rentals' historical news coverage. United Rentals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 267.63 and 272.51, respectively. We have considered United Rentals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 270.15
267.63
Downside
270.07
After-hype Price
272.51
Upside
United Rentals is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Rentals is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Rentals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as United Rentals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Rentals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Rentals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.19  2.46   0.08    0.51  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
270.15270.070.03 
559.09  

United Rentals Hype Timeline

On the 30th of September United Rentals is traded for 270.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.51. United is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 270.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.03% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on United Rentals is about 91.79% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 269.64. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of United Rentals was at this time reported as 65.56. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. United Rentals recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Also, please take a look at United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Rentals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Rentals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Rentals' future price movements. Getting to know how United Rentals rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Rentals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.48  0.08  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

United Rentals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Rentals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Rentals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Rentals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Rentals based on analysis of United Rentals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Rentals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Rentals's related companies.

Story Coverage note for United Rentals

The number of cover stories for United Rentals depends on current market conditions and United Rentals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Rentals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Rentals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

United Rentals Short Properties

United Rentals' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Rentals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Rentals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Rentals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Rentals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.13%
Short Percent Of Float4.67%
Float Shares69.68M
Shares Short Prior Month2.74M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day809.35k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month711.12k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Also, please take a look at United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running United Rentals price analysis, check to measure United Rentals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Rentals is operating at the current time. Most of United Rentals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Rentals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Rentals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Rentals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Rentals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Rentals. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Rentals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of United Rentals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Rentals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Rentals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Rentals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Rentals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Rentals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Rentals value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Rentals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.