United Stock Future Price Prediction

UNFI
 Stock
  

USD 46.18  0.05  0.11%   

United Nat Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Nat shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Nat's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Nat and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Nat's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Nat Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Nat based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Nat over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.1) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.81
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.09
Wall Street Target Price
48.45
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.27
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.08
Using United Nat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Nat Foods from the perspective of United Nat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Nat using United Nat's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Nat's stock price.
United Nat Price to Book Value is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The preceding year's Price to Book Value was reported at 2.67. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 27.11, while Book Value per Share is projected to decrease to 12.81.

United Nat Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in United Nat's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards United. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of United Nat stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long United Nat may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about United Nat and may potentially protect profits, hedge United Nat with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
41.76
Short Percent
0.0446
Short Ratio
3.89
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
40.84
Shares Short
1.9 M

United Nat Foods Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to United Nat's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Nat Foods. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of United Nat's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about United Nat.

United Nat Implied Volatility

    
  59.76  
United Nat's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Nat Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Nat's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Nat stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Nat's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Nat. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Nat to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Nat after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 46.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current United contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that United Nat Foods will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.74% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With United Nat trading at $46.18, that is roughly $1.72. If you think that the market is fully incorporating United Nat's daily price movement you should consider acquiring United Nat Foods options at the current volatility level of 59.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Nat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Nat in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
45.2547.4549.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
45.2847.4849.68
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0051.7167.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.104.184.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Nat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Nat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Nat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Nat Foods.

United Nat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Nat at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Nat or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Nat, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Nat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Nat's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Nat's historical news coverage. United Nat's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.99 and 48.39, respectively. We have considered United Nat's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 46.18
46.19
After-hype Price
48.39
Upside
United Nat is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Nat Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Nat Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as United Nat is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Nat backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Nat, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.05  2.20  0.01    0.02  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.1846.190.02 
1,222  

United Nat Hype Timeline

United Nat Foods is at this time traded for 46.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. United is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 46.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.02% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on United Nat is about 491.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.16. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.93 B. Net Income was 248 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.18 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Nat Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Nat's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Nat's future price movements. Getting to know how United Nat rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Nat may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARMKAramark Holdings Corp(0.06) 9 per month 1.87  0.06  3.66 (3.39)  10.29 
CAGConagra Brands 0.32 7 per month 1.31  0.0121  2.40 (1.91)  6.71 
CPBCampbell Soup(1.14) 6 per month 1.37 (0.0053)  2.12 (2.16)  6.24 
FLOFlowers Foods(0.12) 5 per month 1.79  0.0319  2.58 (1.66)  11.95 
GISGeneral Mills(0.65) 9 per month 1.26  0.0238  2.09 (2.03)  8.64 
HRLHormel Foods Corp 0.29 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.68 (2.19)  6.97 
HSYHershey Foods Corp(3.23) 9 per month 1.14 (0.0421)  2.36 (1.97)  5.75 
INGRIngredion(0.78) 6 per month 1.12  0.06  2.49 (1.90)  6.73 
KKellogg Company 1.00 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.01 (2.60)  10.35 
KHCKraft Heinz(0.11) 7 per month 1.48 (0.0192)  2.55 (2.62)  6.05 

United Nat Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Nat Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Nat stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Nat Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Nat based on analysis of United Nat hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Nat's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Nat's related companies.
 2010 2015 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.392.251.39
Interest Coverage17.1114.181.89

Story Coverage note for United Nat

The number of cover stories for United Nat depends on current market conditions and United Nat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Nat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Nat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

United Nat Short Properties

United Nat's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Nat's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Nat Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Nat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Nat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.37%
Short Percent Of Float5.90%
Float Shares54.31M
Shares Short Prior Month2.05M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day282.28k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month430.19k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the United Nat Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Nat's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running United Nat Foods price analysis, check to measure United Nat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Nat is operating at the current time. Most of United Nat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Nat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Nat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Nat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Nat's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Nat. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Nat listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.1) 
Market Capitalization
2.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.08
Return On Assets
0.0328
Return On Equity
0.15
The market value of United Nat Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Nat's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Nat's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Nat's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Nat's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Nat's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Nat value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Nat's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.