United Stock Future Price Prediction

UNFI -  USA Stock  

USD 48.96  1.64  3.24%

United Nat Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Nat shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Nat's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Nat and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Nat's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Nat Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Nat based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Nat over a specific investment horizon. Using United Nat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Nat Foods from the perspective of United Nat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Nat using United Nat's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Nat's stock price.
United Nat Enterprise Value over EBIT is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Enterprise Value over EBIT was reported at 16.10. The current Enterprise Value over EBITDA is estimated to increase to 14.40, while Book Value per Share is projected to decrease to 12.81.

United Nat Implied Volatility

    
  96.23  
United Nat's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Nat Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Nat's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Nat stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Nat's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Nat. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Nat to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Nat after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 48.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Nat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Nat in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.2150.9454.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0047.2558.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.443.493.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Nat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Nat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Nat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Nat Foods.

United Nat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Nat at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Nat or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of United Nat, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

United Nat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Nat's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Nat's historical news coverage. United Nat's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.51 and 51.97, respectively. We have considered United Nat's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
48.96
29th of November 2021
48.24
After-hype Price
51.97
Upside
United Nat is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Nat Foods is based on 24 months time horizon.

United Nat Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as United Nat is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Nat backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Nat, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.48  5.75  0.65   0.05  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.9648.241.47 
422.79  

United Nat Hype Timeline

United Nat Foods is at this time traded for 48.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.65 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. United is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 48.24. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.47% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on United Nat is about 5390.62% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.91. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of United Nat was at this time reported as 23.12. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 29th of October 2010. United Nat Foods had 2:1 split on the 20th of April 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Nat Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Nat's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Nat's future price movements. Getting to know how United Nat rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Nat may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SJM
JM Smucker(0.54) 6 per month 1.67  0.0066  2.45 (2.37)  18.13 
THS
Treehouse Foods(0.54) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0332)  3.49 (3.16)  27.21 
TSN
Tyson Foods(0.54) 9 per month 2.20 (0.0167)  3.68 (3.27)  30.54 
DF
Dean Foods Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PF
Pinnacle Foods 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MMM
3M Company 0.43 8 per month 1.86 (0.0121)  2.56 (2.59)  19.63 
MSFT
Microsoft Corp(0.12) 9 per month 1.95  0.06  2.82 (2.84)  28.96 
KFT
Mondelez International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MRK
Merck Company 0.35 10 per month 1.65 (0.0201)  2.26 (2.36)  18.24 

United Nat Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Nat Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Nat stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Nat Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Nat based on analysis of United Nat hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Nat's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Nat's related companies.
 2015 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.251.461.57
Interest Coverage14.181.631.67

Story Coverage note for United Nat

The number of cover stories for United Nat depends on current market conditions and United Nat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Nat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Nat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on United Nat

United Nat Short Properties

United Nat's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Nat's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Nat Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Nat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Nat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.82%
Short Percent Of Float9.32%
Float Shares52.24M
Shares Short Prior Month3.82M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day421.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month715.58k
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021
Also, please take a look at United Nat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the United Nat Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Nat's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is United Nat's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Nat. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Nat listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of United Nat Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Nat's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Nat's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Nat's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Nat's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Nat's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Nat value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Nat's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.