Universal Stock Future Price Prediction

ULH
 Stock
  

USD 35.66  2.11  5.59%   

Universal Logistics stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Universal Logistics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Universal Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Universal Logistics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Universal Logistics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Universal Logistics Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Universal Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Universal Logistics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Universal stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Universal Logistics over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.84
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.18
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.45
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.75
Wall Street Target Price
36.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.34
Using Universal Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Universal Logistics Holdings from the perspective of Universal Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Universal Logistics Calculated Tax Rate is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Calculated Tax Rate was reported at 25.21. The current PPandE Turnover is estimated to increase to 6.24, while Operating Margin is projected to decrease to 5.28.

Universal Logistics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Universal Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Universal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Universal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Universal Logistics Holdings. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Universal Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Universal Logistics.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Universal Logistics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Universal Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Universal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Universal Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Universal Logistics in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.7029.5140.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.0029.0029.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.682.682.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Universal Logistics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Universal Logistics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Universal Logistics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Universal Logistics.

Universal Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Universal Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Universal Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Universal Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Universal Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Universal Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Universal Logistics' historical news coverage. Universal Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.73 and 39.35, respectively. We have considered Universal Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 35.66
36.54
After-hype Price
39.35
Upside
Universal Logistics is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Universal Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Universal Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Universal Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Universal Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.09  2.90   0.13    0.03  2 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.6636.540.65 
208.63  

Universal Logistics Hype Timeline

On the 5th of December Universal Logistics is traded for 35.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Universal is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 36.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.65% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Universal Logistics is about 983.05% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.63. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Universal Logistics was at this time reported as 15.79. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.69. Universal Logistics last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2022. The entity had 1:50 split on the May 2, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Also, please take a look at Universal Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Universal Logistics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Universal Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Universal Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Universal Logistics rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Universal Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Universal Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Universal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Universal Logistics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Universal Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Universal Logistics Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Universal Logistics based on analysis of Universal Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Universal Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Universal Logistics's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.941.211.62
Interest Coverage3.848.889.8

Story Coverage note for Universal Logistics

The number of cover stories for Universal Logistics depends on current market conditions and Universal Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Universal Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Universal Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Universal Logistics Short Properties

Universal Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Universal Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Universal Logistics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Universal Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26929000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments21963000.00
Also, please take a look at Universal Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Universal Logistics price analysis, check to measure Universal Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Universal Logistics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.84
Market Capitalization
992.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.43
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Universal Logistics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.