Under Stock Future Price Prediction

UA
 Stock
  

USD 8.39  0.18  2.19%   

Under Armour stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Under Armour shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Under Armour's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Under Armour and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Under Armour's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Under Armour, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Under Armour based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Under stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Under Armour over a specific investment horizon.Using Under Armour hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Under Armour from the perspective of Under Armour response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Under Armour using Under Armour's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Under using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Under Armour's stock price.

Under Armour Implied Volatility

    
  59.89  
Under Armour's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Under Armour stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Under Armour's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Under Armour stock will not fluctuate a lot when Under Armour's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Under Armour. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Under Armour to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Under because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Under Armour after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 8.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Under Armour's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Under Armour in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.5515.2620.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.166.1511.14
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
32.0036.0040.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.609.0310.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Under Armour. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Under Armour's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Under Armour's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Under Armour.

Under Armour After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Under Armour at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Under Armour or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Under Armour, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Under Armour Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Under Armour's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Under Armour's historical news coverage. Under Armour's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.21 and 13.19, respectively. We have considered Under Armour's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 8.39
8.20
After-hype Price
13.19
Upside
Under Armour is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Under Armour is based on 3 months time horizon.

Under Armour Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Under Armour is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Under Armour backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Under Armour, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.87  4.99   0.19    0.51  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.398.202.26 
2,268  

Under Armour Hype Timeline

As of June 26, 2022 Under Armour is listed for 8.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.51. Under is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 8.2. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -2.26% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Under Armour is about 857.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.88. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Under Armour was at this time reported as 4.15. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3. Under Armour had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of June 2016. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Also, please take a look at Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Under Armour Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Under Armour's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Under Armour's future price movements. Getting to know how Under Armour rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Under Armour may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NKENike Inc 0.11 10 per month 0.00 (0.0246)  4.55 (5.57)  10.69 
PGProcter Gamble 1.65 10 per month 0.00  0.05  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 
PMPhilip Morris International(4.50) 9 per month 1.52  0.20  3.02 (2.35)  10.14 
NUSNu Skin Enterprises 0.32 8 per month 0.00  0.05  3.25 (3.94)  9.86 
SBHSally Beauty Holdings 0.32 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.52 (4.98)  22.42 
SFMSprouts Farmers Market 1.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.0297)  4.01 (5.69)  27.80 
SJMJM Smucker(3.66) 9 per month 2.14  0.08  2.35 (2.09)  13.46 
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings(0.04) 8 per month 0.00  0.026  3.92 (3.64)  10.31 
TPXTempur-Pedic International(0.57) 6 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.92 (6.56)  15.90 

Under Armour Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Under price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Under using various technical indicators. When you analyze Under charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Under Armour Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Under Armour stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Under Armour, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Under Armour based on analysis of Under Armour hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Under Armour's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Under Armour's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Under Armour

The number of cover stories for Under Armour depends on current market conditions and Under Armour's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Under Armour is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Under Armour's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Under Armour Short Properties

Under Armour's future price predictability will typically decrease when Under Armour's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Under Armour often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Under Armour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Under Armour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.46%
Float Shares405.36M
Shares Short Prior Month14.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.34M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.94M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Also, please take a look at Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Under Armour information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Under Armour's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Under Armour's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Under Armour. If investors know Under will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Under Armour listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Under Armour is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Under that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Under Armour's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Under Armour's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Under Armour's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Under Armour's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Under Armour's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Under Armour value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Under Armour's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.