Trivago Stock Future Price Prediction

TRVG
 Stock
  

USD 1.47  0.01  0.68%   

Trivago NV stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Trivago NV shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Trivago NV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Trivago NV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Trivago NV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Trivago NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Trivago NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Trivago NV based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Trivago stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Trivago NV over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.97) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.36) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.22
Wall Street Target Price
1.71
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Using Trivago NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trivago NV from the perspective of Trivago NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trivago NV using Trivago NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trivago using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trivago NV's stock price.

Trivago NV Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Trivago NV's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Trivago. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Trivago NV stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Trivago NV may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Trivago NV and may potentially protect profits, hedge Trivago NV with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.66
Short Percent
0.039
Short Ratio
1.06
Shares Short Prior Month
623.5 K
50 Day MA
1.18
Shares Short
549.6 K

Trivago NV Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Trivago NV's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Trivago. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trivago can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trivago NV. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Trivago NV's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Trivago NV.

Trivago NV Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Trivago NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trivago NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trivago NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trivago NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trivago NV's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Trivago NV. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trivago NV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trivago because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Trivago NV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trivago NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Trivago NV in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.304.818.32
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0015.3317.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trivago NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trivago NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trivago NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Trivago NV.

Trivago NV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Trivago NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trivago NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trivago NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Trivago NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Trivago NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trivago NV's historical news coverage. Trivago NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 4.91, respectively. We have considered Trivago NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.47
1.40
After-hype Price
4.91
Upside
Trivago NV is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trivago NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

Trivago NV Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Trivago NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trivago NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trivago NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.11  3.48  0.01   0.02  3 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.471.400.72 
4,971  

Trivago NV Hype Timeline

Trivago NV is at this time traded for 1.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Trivago is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 1.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.72% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Trivago NV is about 1831.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 361.46 M. Net Income was 10.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 349.96 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Additionally, take a look at Trivago NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Trivago NV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Trivago NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trivago NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Trivago NV rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trivago NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Trivago NV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Trivago price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trivago using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trivago charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Trivago NV Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Trivago NV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trivago NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trivago NV based on analysis of Trivago NV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trivago NV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trivago NV's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Trivago NV

The number of cover stories for Trivago NV depends on current market conditions and Trivago NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trivago NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trivago NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Trivago NV Short Properties

Trivago NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trivago NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trivago NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trivago NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trivago NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding353338000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments256378000.00
Additionally, take a look at Trivago NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Is Trivago NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trivago NV. If investors know Trivago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trivago NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.97) 
Market Capitalization
520.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.33
Return On Assets
0.049
Return On Equity
(0.20) 
The market value of Trivago NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trivago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trivago NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trivago NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trivago NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trivago NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trivago NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Trivago NV value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trivago NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.